Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Arturo Fernandez Vial vs Concon National

Chile Chile

Segunda Division 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Leiton C.
39' Event
Toledo Y.
41' Event
Leiton C.

AI Match Summary

Concon National in this Segunda Division 2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Concon National.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Arturo Fernandez Vial
6%
Draws
90%
Concon National
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Concon National

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Arturo Fernandez Vial haven't matched Concon National's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Concon National's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Arturo Fernandez Vial Clean Sheet 14%
Concon National Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arturo Fernandez Vial Concon National
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 4 16
Draws 10 6
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 0 2.13
Goals Conceded 0 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 20, 2024 Segunda Division
Arturo Fernandez Vial vs Concon National
1:3
May 26, 2024 Segunda Division
Concon National vs Arturo Fernandez Vial
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arturo Fernandez Vial Compare

Top Goalscorer Toledo Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Concon National Compare

Top Goalscorer Leiton C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Retamales J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arturo Fernandez Vial 10 / 100
Concon National 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arturo Fernandez Vial Concon National

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CON Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Concon National's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 34 matches.

Arturo Fernandez Vial scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Arturo Fernandez Vial went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Concon National
0 Goals Scored 2.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Arturo Fernandez Vial

(Home)
20 Oct
Arturo Fernandez Vial
1 : 3
Concon National
13 Oct
Deportes Rengo
3 : 2
Arturo Fernandez Vial
09 Oct
Arturo Fernandez Vial
0 : 1
San Antonio Unido
06 Oct
Arturo Fernandez Vial
1 : 2
Linares Unido
15 Sept
General Velasquez
0 : 0
Arturo Fernandez Vial
Page 1 of 6

Concon National

(Away)
11 Jul
Concon National
4 : 2
Santiago City
05 Jul
Brujas Salamanca
1 : 0
Concon National
27 Jun
Concon National
1 : 1
Atletico Colina
07 Jun
Real San Joaquin
0 : 1
Concon National
30 May
Concon National
1 : 0
Provincial Ovalle
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1D. Concepcion26176353:2357
2Melipilla26176359:2554
3D. Puerto Montt26126831:2642
4Deportes Rengo26116933:2839
5San Antonio Unido26116931:4139
6General Velasquez26107940:3337
7Osorno2699842:4336
8Provincial Ovalle26961128:3133
9Concon National26951233:3632
10Linares Unido26861231:3230
11Trasandino26931423:3730
12Real San Joaquin26691127:4027
13Lautaro26831529:5227
14Arturo Fernandez Vial26381522:358
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso 2025 (Main)