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Aruba vs Anguilla - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Nations League Sir Vivian Richards Stadium, St. John's
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Fermina C.
31'
Sub
Jackson T. In: Fleming A.
Out: Jackson T.
39' Event
Owen N.
Assist: Leveret T.

AI Match Summary

Aruba in this CONCACAF Nations League matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aruba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Aruba
15%
Draws
0%
Anguilla
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aruba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Anguilla haven't matched Aruba's recent run of results.
  • Aruba are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular CONCACAF Nations League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Aruba Clean Sheet 20%
Anguilla Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aruba Anguilla
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 13 6
Draws 4 5
Losses 13 24
Goals Scored 1.67 0.69
Goals Conceded 1.7 2.51
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 CONCACAF Nations League
Aruba vs Anguilla
3:2
Sep 29, 2026 CONCACAF Nations League
Anguilla vs Aruba
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aruba Compare

Top Goalscorer Fermina C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mercera A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Anguilla Compare

Top Goalscorer Owen N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fleming A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aruba 85 / 100
Anguilla 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aruba Anguilla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aruba Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 6:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Anguilla's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 35 matches.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Anguilla registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Aruba found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Aruba VS Anguilla
1.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Aruba

(Home)
04 Oct
Aruba
3 : 2
Anguilla
29 Sept
Anguilla
0 : 2
Aruba
23 Sept
Aruba
1 : 0
Antigua and Barbuda
07 Jun
Curacao
4 : 0
Aruba
29 Mar
Aruba
4 : 1
Liechtenstein
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Anguilla

(Away)
04 Oct
Aruba
3 : 2
Anguilla
01 Oct
Anguilla
0 : 3
Antigua and Barbuda
29 Sept
Anguilla
0 : 2
Aruba
26 Sept
Antigua and Barbuda
5 : 0
Anguilla
21 Sept
Dominica
1 : 0
Anguilla
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