Sport Picks
Match Events
6'
6'
Perret Gentil T.
Assist: Jimenez J.
28'
28'
Perret Gentil T.
31'
31'
Pierrot F.
AI Match Summary
The CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 game between Aruba and Haiti finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Haiti.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
65%
15%
20%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aruba
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ High Confidence
- Haiti carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Aruba a 65% chance of winning this.
- Regular CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Haiti have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 36.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Aruba Clean Sheet 19%
Haiti Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Aruba | Haiti |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 14 |
| Draws | 4 | 6 |
| Losses | 16 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.47 | 2.2 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.23 | 1.3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.67 | 1.29 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 7, 2025 World Championship
Aruba vs Haiti
0:5
Oct 15, 2024 CONCACAF Nations League
Haiti vs Aruba
5:3
Oct 12, 2024 CONCACAF Nations League
Aruba vs Haiti
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Aruba Compare
Top Goalscorer Perret Gentil T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.28
Avg xA / game 0.83
Haiti Compare
Top Goalscorer Pierrot F.
1 Goals Assists Leader Nazon D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.17
Avg xA / game 0.72
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Aruba 49 / 100
Haiti 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Aruba Haiti
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Aruba Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 5.67 goals when they meet.
Haiti has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.
Solid form: Aruba remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Away concern: Haiti has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Aruba VS Haiti
2.2 Goals Scored 1.38
1.2 Goals Conceded 1.13
80% Over 1.5 75%
80% Over 2.5 50%
60% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Aruba
(Home) 07 Jun
Curacao
4 : 0 Aruba
29 Mar
Aruba
4 : 1 Liechtenstein
26 Mar
Aruba
4 : 1 Macau
15 Nov
Barbados
0 : 3 Aruba
12 Nov
Antigua and Barbuda
0 : 0 Aruba
Page 1 of 6
29 Mar
Aruba
4 : 1 Liechtenstein
26 Mar
Aruba
4 : 1 Macau
07 Jun
Aruba
0 : 5 Haiti
18 Nov
Aruba
0 : 1 Sint Maarten
12 Oct
Aruba
1 : 3 Haiti
Page 1 of 3
Haiti
(Away) 24 Jun
Morocco
4 : 2 Haiti
20 Jun
Brazil
3 : 0 Haiti
14 Jun
Haiti
0 : 1 Scotland
06 Jun
Haiti
1 : 2 Peru
03 Jun
Haiti
4 : 0 New Zealand
Page 1 of 6
24 Jun
Morocco
4 : 2 Haiti
20 Jun
Brazil
3 : 0 Haiti
14 Oct
Honduras
3 : 0 Haiti
10 Oct
Nicaragua
0 : 3 Haiti
10 Sept
Costa Rica
3 : 3 Haiti
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | El Salvador | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12:6 | 15 |
| 2 | Saint Vincent and the Grenadines | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12:7 | 13 |
| 3 | Bonaire | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:8 | 4 |
| 4 | Montserrat | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3:10 | 3 |
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League A)
Promotion - Gold Cup (Qualification)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League C)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Curacao | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15:3 | 13 |
| 2 | Saint Lucia | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7:15 | 9 |
| 3 | Grenada | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:6 | 7 |
| 4 | Saint Martin | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8:13 | 6 |
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League A)
Promotion - Gold Cup (Qualification)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League C)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Haiti | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 29:5 | 18 |
| 2 | Puerto Rico | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11:12 | 9 |
| 3 | Sint Maarten | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7:18 | 9 |
| 4 | Aruba | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5:17 | 0 |
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League A)
Promotion - Gold Cup (Qualification)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League C)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dominican Republic | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 27:4 | 18 |
| 2 | Bermuda | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 15:13 | 12 |
| 3 | Dominica | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:18 | 4 |
| 4 | Antigua and Barbuda | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2:15 | 1 |
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League A)
Promotion - Gold Cup (Qualification)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League C)
