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World

World Championship 2026 Complejo Deportivo Guillermo Prospero Trinidad

Haiti

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Aruba play Haiti in the World Championship 2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Aruba averaged 1.47 goals scored and 2.23 conceded. Haiti averaged 2.2 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. In past meetings, Aruba won 0, Haiti won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 7, 2025 ended 0:5. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.67 for Aruba and 1.29 for Haiti. This points to a Haiti double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%

Aruba

15%

Draws

53%

Haiti

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Haiti

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence

Aruba picked up more points recently compared to Haiti.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.67 vs 1.29 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 70%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 86%

Over 2.5 Goals 70%

Over 3.5 Goals 42%

Over 4.5 Goals 21%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 51%

Aruba Clean Sheet 19%

Haiti Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 77%

Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Aruba	Haiti
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	10	14
Draws	4	6
Losses	16	10
Goals Scored	1.47	2.2
Goals Conceded	2.23	1.3
Expected Goals (xG)	2.20	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.20	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 7, 2025 World Championship

Aruba vs Haiti

Possession: 43% - 42% Cards: 4 - 0

0:5

Oct 15, 2024 CONCACAF Nations League

Haiti vs Aruba

Possession: 59% - 50% Cards: 1 - 2

5:3

Oct 12, 2024 CONCACAF Nations League

Aruba vs Haiti

Possession: 46% - 60% Cards: 0 - 1

1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aruba Compare

Avg xG / game 1.69

Avg xA / game 1.1

Haiti Compare

Top Goalscorer Jean Jacques D.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Pierrot F.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aruba 33 / 100

Haiti 50 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Aruba Haiti

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Haiti Win (2)

Secondary Pick Haiti & Over 2.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +33.4%

4.17

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.2%

1.56

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Aruba attacking → ← attacking Haiti

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aruba scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Haiti let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 5.67 goals.

Aruba went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Haiti lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

34 Points in last 5 48

2.20 Goals expected (xG) 1.38

1.20 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Honduras	4	4	0	0	12:2	12
2	Bermuda	4	2	1	1	9:8	7
3	Cuba	4	2	0	2	6:5	6
4	Cayman Islands	4	1	0	3	1:9	3
5	Antigua and Barbuda	4	0	1	3	1:5	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Costa Rica	4	4	0	0	17:1	12
2	Trinidad & Tobago	4	2	1	1	16:7	7
3	Grenada	4	2	1	1	11:7	7
4	Saint Kitts and Nevis	4	1	0	3	5:13	3
5	Bahamas	4	0	0	4	1:22	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Curacao	4	4	0	0	15:2	12
2	Haiti	4	3	0	1	11:7	9
3	Saint Lucia	4	1	1	2	5:9	4
4	Aruba	4	0	2	2	3:10	2
5	Barbados	4	0	1	3	4:10	1

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Panama	4	4	0	10:1	12
2	Nicaragua	4	3	1	9:4	9
3	Guyana	4	2	2	6:4	6
4	Montserrat	4	1	3	3:10	3
5	Belize	4	0	4	1:10	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Jamaica	4	4	0	8:2	12
2	Guatemala	4	3	1	13:5	9
3	Dominican Republic	4	2	2	11:5	6
4	Dominica	4	1	3	5:14	3
5	British Virgin Islands	4	0	4	0:11	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Suriname	4	3	1	0	10:2	10
2	El Salvador	4	2	2	0	7:2	8
3	Puerto Rico	4	2	1	1	10:2	7
4	Saint Vincent and the Grenadines	4	1	0	3	9:9	3
5	Anguilla	4	0	0	4	0:21	0