Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aruba vs Haiti

World World

World Championship 2026 Complejo Deportivo Guillermo Prospero Trinidad, Oranjestad
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Jean Jacques D.
35' Event
Pierrot F.
Assist: Jean Jacques D.
46'
Sub
Attys C. In: Pierre L.
Out: Attys C.

AI Match Summary

Haiti in this World Championship 2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Haiti.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Aruba
15%
Draws
20%
Haiti
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aruba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Aruba haven't matched Haiti's recent run of results.
  • Aruba are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Haiti have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Aruba Clean Sheet 20%
Haiti Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aruba Haiti
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 14
Draws 4 5
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.52 2.24
Goals Conceded 2.1 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 7, 2025 World Championship
Aruba vs Haiti
0:5
Oct 15, 2024 CONCACAF Nations League
Haiti vs Aruba
5:3
Oct 12, 2024 CONCACAF Nations League
Aruba vs Haiti
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aruba Compare

Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Haiti Compare

Top Goalscorer Jean Jacques D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pierrot F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aruba 85 / 100
Haiti 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aruba Haiti

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aruba Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.67 goals when they meet.

Haiti let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Aruba went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Haiti lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aruba VS Haiti
1.83 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1
67% Over 1.5 63%
67% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Aruba

(Home)
07 Jun
Curacao
4 : 0
Aruba
29 Mar
Aruba
4 : 1
Liechtenstein
26 Mar
Aruba
4 : 1
Macau
15 Nov
Barbados
0 : 3
Aruba
12 Nov
Antigua and Barbuda
0 : 0
Aruba
Page 1 of 6

Haiti

(Away)
24 Jun
Morocco
4 : 2
Haiti
20 Jun
Brazil
3 : 0
Haiti
14 Jun
Haiti
0 : 1
Scotland
06 Jun
Haiti
1 : 2
Peru
03 Jun
Haiti
4 : 0
New Zealand
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Honduras 4 4 0 0 12:2 12
2 Bermuda 4 2 1 1 9:8 7
3 Cuba 4 2 0 2 6:5 6
4 Cayman Islands 4 1 0 3 1:9 3
5 Antigua and Barbuda 4 0 1 3 1:5 1
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Third stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Costa Rica 4 4 0 0 17:1 12
2 Trinidad & Tobago 4 2 1 1 16:7 7
3 Grenada 4 2 1 1 11:7 7
4 Saint Kitts and Nevis 4 1 0 3 5:13 3
5 Bahamas 4 0 0 4 1:22 0
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Third stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Curacao 4 4 0 0 15:2 12
2 Haiti 4 3 0 1 11:7 9
3 Saint Lucia 4 1 1 2 5:9 4
4 Aruba 4 0 2 2 3:10 2
5 Barbados 4 0 1 3 4:10 1
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Third stage)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Panama 4 4 0 0 10:1 12
2 Nicaragua 4 3 0 1 9:4 9
3 Guyana 4 2 0 2 6:4 6
4 Montserrat 4 1 0 3 3:10 3
5 Belize 4 0 0 4 1:10 0
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Third stage)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jamaica 4 4 0 0 8:2 12
2 Guatemala 4 3 0 1 13:5 9
3 Dominican Republic 4 2 0 2 11:5 6
4 Dominica 4 1 0 3 5:14 3
5 British Virgin Islands 4 0 0 4 0:11 0
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Third stage)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Suriname 4 3 1 0 10:2 10
2 El Salvador 4 2 2 0 7:2 8
3 Puerto Rico 4 2 1 1 10:2 7
4 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines 4 1 0 3 9:9 3
5 Anguilla 4 0 0 4 0:21 0
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Third stage)