Sport Picks
Aruba vs Sint Maarten
North & Central America
CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 Mayagüez Athletics Stadium, Mayagüez 
Match Events
4'
4'
Sub
Perret Gentil T. In: van Kilsdonk C.
Out: Perret Gentil T.
39'
39'
Baly D.
46'
46'
Sub
Wadhwani S. In: Jacobs M.
Out: Wadhwani S.
AI Match Summary
Sint Maarten in this CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sint Maarten.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
30%
37%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sint Maarten
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
33%
/ Low Confidence
- Aruba haven't matched Sint Maarten's recent run of results.
- Model gives Aruba a 33% chance of winning this.
- Regular CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Aruba Clean Sheet 11%
Sint Maarten Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Aruba | Sint Maarten |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 11 |
| Draws | 4 | 5 |
| Losses | 15 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.52 | 1.69 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.1 | 2.31 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 18, 2024 CONCACAF Nations League
Aruba vs Sint Maarten
0:1
Sep 6, 2024 CONCACAF Nations League
Sint Maarten vs Aruba
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Aruba Compare
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Sint Maarten Compare
Top Goalscorer Illidge T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Aruba 38 / 100
Sint Maarten 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Aruba Sint Maarten
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Aruba Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Sint Maarten conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.
Games between these two average 1.50 goals.
Recent resilience: Aruba stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Attacking prowess: Aruba scored in 59% of their last 29 outings.
Scoring Trends
Aruba VS Sint Maarten
1 Goals Scored 1
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Aruba
(Home) 07 Jun
Curacao
4 : 0 Aruba
29 Mar
Aruba
4 : 1 Liechtenstein
26 Mar
Aruba
4 : 1 Macau
15 Nov
Barbados
0 : 3 Aruba
12 Nov
Antigua and Barbuda
0 : 0 Aruba
Page 1 of 6
29 Mar
Aruba
4 : 1 Liechtenstein
26 Mar
Aruba
4 : 1 Macau
07 Jun
Aruba
0 : 5 Haiti
18 Nov
Aruba
0 : 1 Sint Maarten
12 Oct
Aruba
1 : 3 Haiti
Page 1 of 3
Sint Maarten
(Away) 30 Mar
Dominica
0 : 0 Sint Maarten
27 Mar
Belize
2 : 3 Sint Maarten
15 Nov
Dominica
2 : 3 Sint Maarten
12 Nov
Saint Kitts and Nevis
0 : 0 Sint Maarten
18 Nov
Aruba
0 : 1 Sint Maarten
Page 1 of 6
30 Mar
Dominica
0 : 0 Sint Maarten
27 Mar
Belize
2 : 3 Sint Maarten
15 Nov
Dominica
2 : 3 Sint Maarten
12 Nov
Saint Kitts and Nevis
0 : 0 Sint Maarten
18 Nov
Aruba
0 : 1 Sint Maarten
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | El Salvador | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12:6 | 15 |
| 2 | Saint Vincent and the Grenadines | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12:7 | 13 |
| 3 | Bonaire | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:8 | 4 |
| 4 | Montserrat | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3:10 | 3 |
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League A)
Promotion - Gold Cup (Qualification)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League C)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Curacao | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15:3 | 13 |
| 2 | Saint Lucia | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7:15 | 9 |
| 3 | Grenada | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:6 | 7 |
| 4 | Saint Martin | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8:13 | 6 |
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League A)
Promotion - Gold Cup (Qualification)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League C)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Haiti | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 29:5 | 18 |
| 2 | Puerto Rico | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11:12 | 9 |
| 3 | Sint Maarten | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7:18 | 9 |
| 4 | Aruba | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5:17 | 0 |
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League A)
Promotion - Gold Cup (Qualification)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League C)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dominican Republic | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 27:4 | 18 |
| 2 | Bermuda | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 15:13 | 12 |
| 3 | Dominica | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:18 | 4 |
| 4 | Antigua and Barbuda | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2:15 | 1 |
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League A)
Promotion - Gold Cup (Qualification)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League C)
