Sport Picks
Aruba vs Sint Maarten
North & Central America
CONCACAF Nations League Mayagüez Athletics Stadium, Mayagüez 
Match Events
4'
4'
Sub
Perret Gentil T. In: van Kilsdonk C.
Out: Perret Gentil T.
39'
39'
Baly D.
46'
46'
Sub
Wadhwani S. In: Jacobs M.
Out: Wadhwani S.
AI Match Summary
Sint Maarten in this CONCACAF Nations League matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sint Maarten.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
70%
17%
13%
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Aruba
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
88%
/ Very High Confidence
- Aruba haven't matched Sint Maarten's recent run of results.
- Model gives Aruba a 70% chance of winning this.
- Regular CONCACAF Nations League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Aruba Clean Sheet 10%
Sint Maarten Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Aruba | Sint Maarten |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 12 |
| Draws | 4 | 5 |
| Losses | 16 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 3.00 | 2.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 18, 2024 CONCACAF Nations League
Aruba vs Sint Maarten
0:1
Sep 6, 2024 CONCACAF Nations League
Sint Maarten vs Aruba
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Aruba Compare
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Sint Maarten Compare
Top Goalscorer Illidge T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Aruba 65 / 100
Sint Maarten 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Aruba Sint Maarten
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick ARU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Sint Maarten conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.
Games between these two average 1.50 goals.
Recent resilience: Aruba stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Attacking prowess: Aruba scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.
Scoring Trends
Aruba VS Sint Maarten
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
3 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Aruba
(Home) 07 Jun
Curacao
4 : 0 Aruba
29 Mar
Aruba
4 : 1 Liechtenstein
26 Mar
Aruba
4 : 1 Macau
15 Nov
Barbados
0 : 3 Aruba
12 Nov
Antigua and Barbuda
0 : 0 Aruba
Page 1 of 6
29 Mar
Aruba
4 : 1 Liechtenstein
26 Mar
Aruba
4 : 1 Macau
07 Jun
Aruba
0 : 5 Haiti
18 Nov
Aruba
0 : 1 Sint Maarten
12 Oct
Aruba
1 : 3 Haiti
Page 1 of 3
Sint Maarten
(Away) 30 Mar
Dominica
0 : 0 Sint Maarten
27 Mar
Belize
2 : 3 Sint Maarten
15 Nov
Dominica
2 : 3 Sint Maarten
12 Nov
Saint Kitts and Nevis
0 : 0 Sint Maarten
18 Nov
Aruba
0 : 1 Sint Maarten
Page 1 of 6
30 Mar
Dominica
0 : 0 Sint Maarten
27 Mar
Belize
2 : 3 Sint Maarten
15 Nov
Dominica
2 : 3 Sint Maarten
12 Nov
Saint Kitts and Nevis
0 : 0 Sint Maarten
18 Nov
Aruba
0 : 1 Sint Maarten
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | El Salvador | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12:6 | 15 |
| 2 | Saint Vincent and the Grenadines | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12:7 | 13 |
| 3 | Bonaire | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:8 | 4 |
| 4 | Montserrat | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3:10 | 3 |
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League (League A)
Promotion - Gold Cup (Qualification)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League (League C)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Curacao | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15:3 | 13 |
| 2 | Saint Lucia | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7:15 | 9 |
| 3 | Grenada | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:6 | 7 |
| 4 | Saint Martin | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8:13 | 6 |
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League (League A)
Promotion - Gold Cup (Qualification)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League (League C)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Haiti | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 29:5 | 18 |
| 2 | Puerto Rico | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11:12 | 9 |
| 3 | Sint Maarten | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7:18 | 9 |
| 4 | Aruba | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5:17 | 0 |
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League (League A)
Promotion - Gold Cup (Qualification)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League (League C)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dominican Republic | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 27:4 | 18 |
| 2 | Bermuda | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 15:13 | 12 |
| 3 | Dominica | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:18 | 4 |
| 4 | Antigua and Barbuda | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2:15 | 1 |
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League (League A)
Promotion - Gold Cup (Qualification)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League (League C)