Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aruba W vs Cuba W

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Championship Women Complejo Deportivo Guillermo Prospero Trinidad, Oranjestad
Our Tip

Match Events

62' Event
Aguilar N.

AI Match Summary

Cuba W in this CONCACAF Championship Women matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cuba W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Aruba W
15%
Draws
37%
Cuba W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aruba W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Cuba W have won more games recently than Aruba W.
  • Aruba W are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this CONCACAF Championship Women fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Cuba W have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Aruba W Clean Sheet 16%
Cuba W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aruba W Cuba W
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 10 18
Draws 2 3
Losses 18 11
Goals Scored 1.6 2.63
Goals Conceded 2.5 2.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 CONCACAF Championship Women
Aruba W vs Cuba W
0:1
May 7, 2018 CONCACAF Championship Women
Cuba W vs Aruba W
11:0
Jun 30, 2011 Olympic Games Women
Aruba W vs Cuba W
0:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aruba W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Cuba W Compare

Top Goalscorer Aguilar N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aruba W 57 / 100
Cuba W 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aruba W Cuba W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aruba W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Aruba W scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Solid form: Aruba W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Cuba W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 53% of 32 matches.

Scoring Trends

Aruba W VS Cuba W
1.88 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Aruba W

(Home)
14 Apr
Curacao W
1 : 6
Aruba W
10 Apr
Panama W
3 : 1
Aruba W
08 Mar
Aruba W
0 : 1
Cuba W
29 Nov
Aruba W
2 : 1
Saint Kitts and Nevis W
01 Jun
Suriname W
1 : 7
Aruba W
Page 1 of 6

Cuba W

(Away)
18 Apr
Panama W
3 : 0
Cuba W
08 Mar
Aruba W
0 : 1
Cuba W
01 Mar
Cuba W
3 : 0
Curacao W
02 Dec
Cuba W
2 : 2
Saint Kitts and Nevis W
08 Apr
Peru W
3 : 2
Cuba W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mexico W 4 4 0 0 36:0 12
2 Puerto Rico W 4 3 0 1 26:6 9
3 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines W 4 2 0 2 2:24 6
4 United States Virgin Islands W 4 1 0 3 3:20 3
5 Saint Lucia W 4 0 0 4 1:18 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Championship Women (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jamaica W 4 4 0 0 27:2 12
2 Nicaragua W 4 3 0 1 23:4 9
3 Guyana W 4 2 0 2 8:5 6
4 Antigua and Barbuda W 4 0 1 3 1:13 1
5 Dominica W 4 0 1 3 1:36 1
Promotion - CONCACAF Championship Women (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Costa Rica W 4 4 0 0 34:1 12
2 Guatemala W 4 3 0 1 23:4 9
3 Bermuda W 4 2 0 2 10:15 6
4 Grenada W 4 1 0 3 7:14 3
5 Cayman Islands W 4 0 0 4 1:41 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Championship Women (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Haiti W 4 3 1 0 17:1 10
2 Dominican Republic W 4 2 2 0 17:4 8
3 Belize W 4 2 0 2 5:15 6
4 Suriname W 4 1 1 2 5:7 4
5 Anguilla W 4 0 0 4 1:18 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Championship Women (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Panama W 4 4 0 0 15:2 12
2 Cuba W 4 2 1 1 6:5 7
3 Aruba W 4 2 0 2 9:6 6
4 Curacao W 4 1 0 3 4:16 3
5 Saint Kitts and Nevis W 4 0 1 3 4:9 1
Promotion - CONCACAF Championship Women (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 El Salvador W 3 3 0 0 18:0 9
2 Trinidad & Tobago W 3 1 1 1 7:4 4
3 Honduras W 3 1 1 1 6:5 4
4 Barbados W 3 0 0 3 0:22 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Championship Women (Main)