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Stadium Background

ARUC U20 vs Samambaia U20

Brazil Brazil

Brasiliense U20 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Brasiliense U20 2023 game between ARUC U20 and Samambaia U20 finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Samambaia U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
ARUC U20
20%
Draws
73%
Samambaia U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Samambaia U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Samambaia U20 come out ahead of ARUC U20 on wins alone.
  • Model gives Samambaia U20 a 73% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Samambaia U20 here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
ARUC U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Samambaia U20 Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ARUC U20 Samambaia U20
Matches Played 32 34
Wins 6 16
Draws 2 10
Losses 24 8
Goals Scored 0.94 2.12
Goals Conceded 3.31 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 0.51 3.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 Brasiliense U20
ARUC U20 vs Samambaia U20
2:2
Jun 21, 2025 Brasiliense U20
ARUC U20 vs Samambaia U20
0:5
Jun 10, 2023 Brasiliense U20
ARUC U20 vs Samambaia U20
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ARUC U20 10 / 100
Samambaia U20 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ARUC U20 Samambaia U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Samambaia U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.67 goals per match.

ARUC U20 scored in 44% of their last 32 games.

Samambaia U20 has conceded goals in 53% of their last 34 outings.

ARUC U20 has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

ARUC U20 VS Samambaia U20
0.38 Goals Scored 2.88
4.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 63%
88% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

ARUC U20

(Home)
25 Jul
Candango U20
10 : 0
ARUC U20
19 Jul
ARUC U20
0 : 13
Capital DF U20
12 Jul
Brasiliense U20
6 : 0
ARUC U20
05 Jul
ARUC U20
2 : 2
Samambaia U20
27 Jun
Sobradinho U20
8 : 0
ARUC U20
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Samambaia U20

(Away)
08 Aug
Real Brasilia U20
1 : 0
Samambaia U20
01 Aug
Samambaia U20
0 : 0
Real Brasilia U20
25 Jul
Legiao U20
1 : 4
Samambaia U20
18 Jul
Samambaia U20
8 : 0
Samambaense U20
11 Jul
Samambaia U20
6 : 0
Candango U20
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brasiliense U20 8 6 2 0 25:4 20
2 Canaa U20 8 6 2 0 20:6 20
3 Luziania U20 8 6 1 1 18:8 19
4 ARUC U20 8 4 0 4 14:11 12
5 Gremio Valparaiso U20 8 4 0 4 12:13 12
6 Botafogo DF U20 8 3 0 5 15:22 9
7 Samambaia U20 8 1 2 5 6:13 5
8 Brasilia U20 8 1 2 5 5:20 5
9 Ceilandense U20 8 0 1 7 6:24 1
Promotion - Brasiliense U20 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Capital DF U20 8 5 2 1 12:7 17
2 Gama U20 8 4 2 2 14:4 14
3 Santa Maria U20 8 4 2 2 15:9 14
4 Brazlandia U20 8 4 2 2 10:7 14
5 Paranoa U20 8 3 3 2 12:6 12
6 Real Brasilia U20 8 2 5 1 15:6 11
7 Planaltina U20 8 2 4 2 16:12 10
8 Legiao U20 8 2 0 6 8:18 6
9 Samambaense U20 8 0 0 8 4:37 0
Promotion - Brasiliense U20 2023 (Play Offs)