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Arucas vs Tenerife C

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Gutierrez R.
60' Event
Asdrubal F.
(Penalty)
74' Event
Charrik A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Arucas
35%
Draws
19%
Tenerife C
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Arucas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Arucas haven't matched Tenerife C's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Arucas a 46% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Arucas Clean Sheet 68%
Tenerife C Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arucas Tenerife C
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 6 10
Draws 11 10
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 0.97 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Tenerife C vs Arucas
1:1
Dec 20, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Arucas vs Tenerife C
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arucas Compare

Top Goalscorer Aythami
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Tenerife C Compare

Top Goalscorer Gutierrez R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Charrik A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arucas 68 / 100
Tenerife C 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arucas Tenerife C

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arucas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arucas's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Tenerife C conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Arucas has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Arucas VS Tenerife C
0.88 Goals Scored 0.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Arucas

(Home)
10 May
CD Marino
1 : 2
Arucas
03 May
Arucas
0 : 1
Mensajero
25 Apr
Tenerife C
1 : 1
Arucas
22 Apr
Union Sur Yaiza
3 : 0
Arucas
18 Apr
Arucas
0 : 0
San Bartolome
Page 1 of 6

Tenerife C

(Away)
19 Sept
Panaderia
3 : 3
Tenerife C
13 Sept
Mensajero
1 : 0
Tenerife C
10 May
Tenerife C
0 : 1
San Bartolome
03 May
UD San Fernando
5 : 0
Tenerife C
25 Apr
Tenerife C
1 : 1
Arucas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico Paso 34 18 13 3 51:19 67
2 UD San Fernando 34 19 9 6 49:23 66
3 Mensajero 34 18 9 7 51:31 63
4 Tamaraceite 34 19 6 9 56:36 63
5 Panaderia 34 15 10 9 47:33 55
6 Las Palmas C 34 15 9 10 58:42 54
7 Tenerife C 34 14 10 10 49:46 52
8 Villa Santa Brigida 34 15 5 14 42:35 50
9 Lanzarote 34 12 12 10 45:36 48
10 Real Union Tenerife 34 12 9 13 34:32 45
11 San Miguel 34 10 9 15 37:43 39
12 CD Marino 34 8 15 11 44:40 39
13 Union Sur Yaiza 34 10 8 16 33:43 38
14 San Bartolome 34 8 12 14 30:55 36
15 Arucas 34 7 12 15 31:47 33
16 Herbania 34 7 11 16 39:58 32
17 SD Tenisca 34 6 7 21 32:68 25
18 Telde 34 5 10 19 30:71 25
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026 (Play Offs)