Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Arvand Khorramshahr vs Mes Rafsanjan

Iran Iran

Division 1 2018/2019
Our Tip

Match Events

50' Event
Darvishi Y.

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 2018/2019 game between Arvand Khorramshahr and Mes Rafsanjan finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mes Rafsanjan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Arvand Khorramshahr
39%
Draws
30%
Mes Rafsanjan
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Arvand Khorramshahr carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23.6%
Arvand Khorramshahr Clean Sheet 25%
Mes Rafsanjan Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arvand Khorramshahr Mes Rafsanjan
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 6 5
Draws 8 7
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 0 0.63
Goals Conceded 0 1.5

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2019 Azadegan League
Arvand Khorramshahr vs Mes Rafsanjan
0:1
Aug 19, 2018 Azadegan League
Mes Rafsanjan vs Arvand Khorramshahr
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arvand Khorramshahr Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Mes Rafsanjan Compare

Top Goalscorer Darvishi Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arvand Khorramshahr 33 / 100
Mes Rafsanjan 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arvand Khorramshahr Mes Rafsanjan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RAF Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Mes Rafsanjan conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Mes Rafsanjan registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Arvand Khorramshahr scored in 46% of their last 28 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Mes Rafsanjan
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Arvand Khorramshahr

(Home)
30 Apr
Khooneh
3 : 0
Arvand Khorramshahr
23 Apr
Arvand Khorramshahr
1 : 0
Qashqai Shiraz
10 Apr
Arvand Khorramshahr
0 : 2
Gol Reyhan Alborz
04 Apr
Navad Urmia
3 : 1
Arvand Khorramshahr
29 Mar
Arvand Khorramshahr
0 : 0
Aluminium Arak
Page 1 of 6

Mes Rafsanjan

(Away)
22 Jul
Mes Rafsanjan
0 : 3
Sanat Naft
22 Feb
Mes Rafsanjan
0 : 1
Esteghlal TEH
14 Feb
Paykan
0 : 2
Mes Rafsanjan
07 Feb
Mes Rafsanjan
0 : 1
Esteghlal Khuzestan
01 Feb
Shams Azar Qazvin
2 : 0
Mes Rafsanjan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gol Gohar301513247:2658
2Shahin Bushehr301412434:1754
3Gol Reyhan Alborz30139830:1948
4Aluminium Arak301212627:2348
5Mes Kerman301211738:2247
6Havadar SC301110948:3843
7Baderan Tehran301110935:3243
8Qashqai Shiraz301161328:3439
9Fajr Sepasi309111026:2438
10Mes Rafsanjan30991240:4236
11Malavan301011929:2835
12Khooneh307101322:3031
13Navad Urmia307101323:4031
14Shahrdari Tabriz306101427:4528
15Arvand Khorramshahr306101417:3628
16Shahrdari Mahshahr305101519:3425
17Meshki Pooshan00000:00
18Bargh00000:00
19Naft Tehran00000:00
20Machine Sazi Tabriz00000:00
21Gostaresh00000:00
22Esteghlal Jonoub00000:00
Promotion - Persian Gulf Pro League 2019/2020 (Main)
Promotion - Persian Gulf Pro League 2019/2020 (Main)