Sport Picks
Match Events
27'
27'
Shushenachev A.
37'
37'
Erlanov T.
Assist: Pastoriza A.
42'
42'
Kuatbekuly K.
Own Goal
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 0-4. This leg finished 0-4.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
30%
39%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Aktobe
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Aktobe have won more games recently than Arys.
- Arys are the model's pick here, at 42%.
- Aktobe arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Aktobe, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Arys Clean Sheet 13%
Aktobe Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Arys | Aktobe |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 6 | 14 |
| Draws | 4 | 5 |
| Losses | 19 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.07 | 1.48 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.17 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 9, 2026 Kazakhstan Cup
Arys vs Aktobe
0:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Arys Compare
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Aktobe Compare
Top Goalscorer Shushenachev A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Erlanov T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Arys 40 / 100
Aktobe 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Arys Aktobe
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 4.00 goals.
Arys's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Defensive concern: Aktobe conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.
Arys has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Arys VS Aktobe
1 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Arys
(Home) 11 Sept
Kaspij Aktau 2
1 : 2 Arys
03 Sept
Arys
3 : 1 FC Ekibastuz
27 Aug
Kairat Almaty 2
1 : 0 Arys
20 Aug
Arys
1 : 1 Taraz
15 Aug
Khan Tengri
0 : 0 Arys
Page 1 of 6
03 Sept
Arys
3 : 1 FC Ekibastuz
20 Aug
Arys
1 : 1 Taraz
07 Aug
Arys
3 : 0 Tobol 2
16 Jul
Arys
0 : 4 Turan
03 Jul
Arys
3 : 2 Yelimay Semey 2
Page 1 of 3
Aktobe
(Away) 12 Sept
Kaspij Aktau
1 : 2 Aktobe
05 Sept
Aktobe
1 : 0 Zhenis
30 Aug
Ertis Pavlodar
2 : 1 Aktobe
15 Aug
Kaisar Kyzylorda
1 : 2 Aktobe
09 Aug
Atyrau
1 : 1 Aktobe
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Kaspij Aktau
1 : 2 Aktobe
30 Aug
Ertis Pavlodar
2 : 1 Aktobe
15 Aug
Kaisar Kyzylorda
1 : 2 Aktobe
09 Aug
Atyrau
1 : 1 Aktobe
01 Aug
Kyzylzhar
3 : 1 Aktobe
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Akademiya Ontustik 2
Ordabasy 4
FC Ekibastuz 0
Kaspij Aktau 4
Jas Qyran 0
Atyrau 4
Karshiga Almaty 0
Zhetysu Taldykorgan 1
Arys 0
Aktobe 4
Turan 1
Yelimay Semey 4
Jelaev Nan 0
Altai 2
Taraz 0
Ulytau 1
Talas 0
Kaisar Kyzylorda 2
Jaiyq 1
Kairat Almaty 3
BKS 1
FC Astana 2
Ansat 0
Tobol 8
Shakhter Karagandy 2
Okzhetpes 3
Chromtau 1
Zhenis 4
SD Family -
Ertis Pavlodar -
Khan Tengri 0
Kyzylzhar 1
1/8-finals
Ordabasy 3
Kaspij Aktau 0
Atyrau 0
Zhetysu Taldykorgan 2
Aktobe 2
Yelimay Semey 1
Altai 4
Ulytau 3
Kaisar Kyzylorda 2
Kairat Almaty 1
FC Astana 1
Tobol 2
Okzhetpes 2
Zhenis 3
Ertis Pavlodar 1
Kyzylzhar 2
Quarter-finals
Ordabasy 1
Zhetysu Taldykorgan 0
Aktobe 1
Altai 2
Kaisar Kyzylorda 2
Tobol 1
Zhenis 2
Kyzylzhar 0
Semi-finals
Ordabasy 5
Altai 2
Kaisar Kyzylorda 5
Zhenis 4
Final
Ordabasy -
Kaisar Kyzylorda -
