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Arys vs Turan

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First League
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Kenesov A.
Assist: Saidov E.
34' Event
Kenesov A.
70' Event
Duysenbekuly K.
Assist: Kenesov A.

AI Match Summary

Turan in this First League matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Turan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Arys
6%
Draws
90%
Turan
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Turan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Arys haven't matched Turan's recent run of results.
  • Turan are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Turan have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Arys Clean Sheet 10%
Turan Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arys Turan
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 6 11
Draws 2 3
Losses 21 16
Goals Scored 1.13 2.38
Goals Conceded 1.88 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 16, 2026 First League
Arys vs Turan
0:4
Apr 16, 2026 First League
Turan vs Arys
1:0
Sep 27, 2023 First League
Arys vs Turan
0:4
Jun 11, 2023 First League
Turan vs Arys
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arys Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Turan Compare

Top Goalscorer Kenesov A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Duysenbekuly K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arys 10 / 100
Turan 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arys Turan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TUR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Arys scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Turan conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Arys stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Arys VS Turan
1.13 Goals Scored 2.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kairat Almaty 214122050:738
2Shakhter Karagandy14121138:537
3Turan1491429:1128
4FC Astana 21472525:2223
5Akademiya Ontustik1472522:1923
6Jaiyq1461711:1819
7Taraz1452720:2017
8Khan Tengri1452718:2617
9FC Ekibastuz1445517:2617
10Aktobe 21445527:4017
11Kaspij Aktau 21443716:2815
12Arys14311015:3210
13Yelimay Semey 21423911:279
14Tobol 21414923:417