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Arys vs Turan

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First League
Arys Logo

Arys

0 - 4
FT
Turan Logo

Turan

Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Kenesov A.
Assist: Saidov E.
34' Event
Kenesov A.
70' Event
Duysenbekuly K.
Assist: Kenesov A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Turan in this First League matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Turan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Arys
30%
Draws
39%
Turan
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Turan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Arys haven't matched Turan's recent run of results.
  • Turan are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Turan have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Arys Clean Sheet 11%
Turan Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arys Turan
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 5 16
Draws 4 4
Losses 19 10
Goals Scored 1.04 2
Goals Conceded 2.21 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 16, 2026 First League
Arys vs Turan
0:4
Apr 16, 2026 First League
Turan vs Arys
1:0
Sep 27, 2023 First League
Arys vs Turan
0:4
Jun 11, 2023 First League
Turan vs Arys
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arys Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Turan Compare

Top Goalscorer Kenesov A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Duysenbekuly K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arys 22 / 100
Turan 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arys Turan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Turan Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Arys scored in 61% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Turan conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Arys stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Arys VS Turan
0.88 Goals Scored 2
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Arys

(Home)
03 Sept
Arys
3 : 1
FC Ekibastuz
27 Aug
Kairat Almaty 2
1 : 0
Arys
20 Aug
Arys
1 : 1
Taraz
15 Aug
Khan Tengri
0 : 0
Arys
07 Aug
Arys
3 : 0
Tobol 2
Page 1 of 6

Turan

(Away)
10 Sept
Aktobe 2
1 : 3
Turan
04 Sept
Kaspij Aktau 2
0 : 3
Turan
27 Aug
FC Ekibastuz
2 : 4
Turan
21 Aug
Turan
0 : 4
Kairat Almaty 2
14 Aug
Taraz
0 : 0
Turan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shakhter Karagandy 21 19 1 1 62:7 58
2 Kairat Almaty 2 22 16 5 1 64:12 53
3 Turan 22 15 2 5 47:20 47
4 Akademiya Ontustik 22 13 3 6 36:27 42
5 Jaiyq 21 9 3 9 20:24 30
6 FC Astana 2 22 9 3 10 35:42 30
7 Taraz 21 8 4 9 27:29 28
8 FC Ekibastuz 21 7 5 9 29:41 26
9 Kaspij Aktau 2 21 7 4 10 28:36 25
10 Khan Tengri 21 7 3 11 26:39 24
11 Aktobe 2 22 6 5 11 37:65 23
12 Arys 21 5 3 13 23:41 18
13 Yelimay Semey 2 22 3 3 16 16:43 12
14 Tobol 2 21 2 4 15 32:56 10
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