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Arzachena vs Angri

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group G 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Piga M.
39' Event
Sosa C.
41' Event
Pinna G.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group G 2022/2023 game between Arzachena and Angri finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Arzachena.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

69%
Arzachena
15%
Draws
16%
Angri
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Arzachena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Arzachena come out ahead of Angri on wins alone.
  • Arzachena are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Arzachena Clean Sheet 68%
Angri Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arzachena Angri
Matches Played 30 37
Wins 14 6
Draws 6 7
Losses 10 24
Goals Scored 1.47 0.95
Goals Conceded 1.2 2.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2023 Serie D - Group G
Arzachena vs Angri
3:2
Nov 27, 2022 Serie D - Group G
Angri vs Arzachena
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arzachena Compare

Top Goalscorer Piga M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sosa C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.38
Avg xA / game 0.9

Angri Compare

Top Goalscorer Varsi A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cassata A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arzachena 95 / 100
Angri 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arzachena Angri

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arzachena Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Angri has conceded goals in 92% of their last 37 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Arzachena stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Arzachena found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

- VS Angri
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 2.38
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Arzachena

(Home)
14 May
Casertana
3 : 3
Arzachena
07 May
Arzachena
2 : 1
Ilvamaddalena
30 Apr
SS Nola 1925
1 : 2
Arzachena
23 Apr
Arzachena
3 : 0
Palmese 1914
16 Apr
Aprilia
1 : 3
Arzachena
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Angri

(Away)
04 May
Angri
3 : 1
Costa Amalfi
27 Apr
Nocerina
6 : 0
Angri
17 Apr
Matera
3 : 1
Angri
13 Apr
Angri
2 : 3
Citta di Fasano
06 Apr
Virtus Francavilla
4 : 0
Angri
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sorrento 34 21 7 6 53:28 70
2 Paganese 34 19 11 4 56:29 68
3 Casertana 34 17 7 10 57:40 58
4 Arzachena 34 17 6 11 51:40 57
5 Lupa Frascati 34 13 11 10 44:29 50
6 Palmese 1914 34 13 10 11 50:44 49
7 Cassino 34 13 8 13 42:45 47
8 Real Monterotondo 34 12 9 13 51:55 45
9 Sarrabus Ogliastra 34 12 7 15 51:54 43
10 Tivoli Calcio 34 10 11 13 36:39 41
11 Vis Artena 34 9 14 11 24:28 41
12 Portici 1906 34 9 13 12 45:49 40
13 Angri 34 10 9 15 39:51 39
14 Atletico Uri 34 10 9 15 45:62 39
15 Ilvamaddalena 34 8 14 12 30:39 38
16 Pomezia 34 8 11 15 40:58 35
17 SS Nola 1925 34 8 11 15 44:55 35
18 Aprilia 34 8 10 16 34:47 34
Promotion - Serie D - Group G 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group G 2022/2023 (Play Out)