Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Arzachena vs Pomezia

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group G 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

78' Event
Manca L.

AI Match Summary

Arzachena in this Serie D - Group G 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Arzachena.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Arzachena
15%
Draws
27%
Pomezia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Arzachena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Arzachena have won more games recently than Pomezia.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Arzachena taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Arzachena Clean Sheet 68%
Pomezia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arzachena Pomezia
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 6
Draws 6 9
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.47 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 12, 2023 Serie D - Group G
Arzachena vs Pomezia
1:0
Oct 9, 2022 Serie D - Group G
Pomezia vs Arzachena
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arzachena Compare

Top Goalscorer Manca L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Pomezia Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arzachena 95 / 100
Pomezia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arzachena Pomezia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arzachena Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pomezia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Arzachena stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Arzachena scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Arzachena VS Pomezia
2.25 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Arzachena

(Home)
14 May
Casertana
3 : 3
Arzachena
07 May
Arzachena
2 : 1
Ilvamaddalena
30 Apr
SS Nola 1925
1 : 2
Arzachena
23 Apr
Arzachena
3 : 0
Palmese 1914
16 Apr
Aprilia
1 : 3
Arzachena
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Pomezia

(Away)
21 May
Angri
3 : 0
Pomezia
14 May
SS Nola 1925
0 : 1
Pomezia
07 May
Pomezia
2 : 5
SS Nola 1925
30 Apr
Paganese
2 : 0
Pomezia
23 Apr
Pomezia
1 : 0
Aprilia
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sorrento 34 21 7 6 53:28 70
2 Paganese 34 19 11 4 56:29 68
3 Casertana 34 17 7 10 57:40 58
4 Arzachena 34 17 6 11 51:40 57
5 Lupa Frascati 34 13 11 10 44:29 50
6 Palmese 1914 34 13 10 11 50:44 49
7 Cassino 34 13 8 13 42:45 47
8 Real Monterotondo 34 12 9 13 51:55 45
9 Sarrabus Ogliastra 34 12 7 15 51:54 43
10 Tivoli Calcio 34 10 11 13 36:39 41
11 Vis Artena 34 9 14 11 24:28 41
12 Portici 1906 34 9 13 12 45:49 40
13 Angri 34 10 9 15 39:51 39
14 Atletico Uri 34 10 9 15 45:62 39
15 Ilvamaddalena 34 8 14 12 30:39 38
16 Pomezia 34 8 11 15 40:58 35
17 SS Nola 1925 34 8 11 15 44:55 35
18 Aprilia 34 8 10 16 34:47 34
Promotion - Serie D - Group G 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group G 2022/2023 (Play Out)