Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Arzignano vs Novara - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group A Tommaso Dal Molin, Arzignano
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
04:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Arzignano host Novara in the Serie C - Group A. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Arzignano have averaged 1.38 scored and 1.14 conceded recently, against Novara's 1.1 scored and 1.14 conceded. Past meetings favor Novara slightly — 0-3-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 27, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.50 vs 1.25, favoring Arzignano. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Arzignano
30%
Draws
19%
Novara
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Arzignano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Arzignano carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Arzignano a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Arzignano Clean Sheet 19%
Novara Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arzignano Novara
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 10
Draws 5 8
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.38 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 27, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Arzignano vs Novara
1:1
Oct 17, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Novara vs Arzignano
1:0
Apr 5, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Novara vs Arzignano
1:0
Nov 24, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Arzignano vs Novara
0:2
Feb 17, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Arzignano vs Novara
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arzignano 85 / 100
Novara 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arzignano Novara

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arzignano Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Arzignano remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Arzignano's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Novara conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Scoring Trends

Arzignano VS Novara
1.75 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Arzignano

(Home)
10 Oct
Arzignano
2 : 1
Juventus U23
03 Oct
Arzignano
2 : 2
Pergolettese
27 Sept
Carpi
0 : 3
Arzignano
20 Sept
Arzignano
2 : 1
Renate
17 Sept
AlbinoLeffe
1 : 2
Arzignano
Page 1 of 6

Novara

(Away)
10 Oct
Novara
0 : 2
Cittadella
04 Oct
Dolomiti Bellunesi
1 : 2
Novara
26 Sept
Novara
0 : 2
Ospitaletto
20 Sept
Novara
2 : 2
Carpi
17 Sept
Lumezzane
0 : 0
Novara
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cittadella 9 8 0 1 16:4 24
2 Union Brescia 9 5 4 0 16:6 19
3 Ospitaletto 9 5 3 1 15:6 18
4 Arzignano 9 5 2 2 14:10 17
5 Trento 9 4 5 0 12:5 17
6 Treviso 9 3 4 2 8:7 13
7 Desenzano Calvina 9 3 4 2 8:7 13
8 AlbinoLeffe 9 3 3 3 14:13 12
9 Alcione Milano 9 2 6 1 13:14 12
10 Lumezzane 9 3 3 3 10:11 12
11 Pergolettese 9 2 5 2 5:6 11
12 Lecco 9 2 4 3 7:9 10
13 Dolomiti Bellunesi 9 2 4 3 7:9 10
14 Novara 9 2 3 4 8:12 9
15 Pro Vercelli 9 2 3 4 8:13 9
16 Juventus U23 9 1 4 4 8:15 7
17 Carpi 9 1 3 5 11:19 6
18 Folgore Caratese 9 1 3 5 9:13 6
19 Giana Erminio 9 0 5 4 8:12 5
20 Renate 9 0 4 5 8:14 4
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)