Sport Picks

Stadium Background

AS Acireale vs Athletic Palermo

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

48' Event
Zalazar S.
61' Event
Bonfiglio F.
85' Event
Lores I.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 game between AS Acireale and Athletic Palermo finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Athletic Palermo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
AS Acireale
30%
Draws
54%
Athletic Palermo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Athletic Palermo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Athletic Palermo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 54% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
AS Acireale Clean Sheet 20%
Athletic Palermo Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AS Acireale Athletic Palermo
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 7 15
Draws 11 3
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.13 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.28 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2026 Serie D - Group I
AS Acireale vs Athletic Palermo
0:4
Sep 28, 2025 Serie D - Group I
Athletic Palermo vs AS Acireale
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AS Acireale Compare

Avg xG / game 0.98
Avg xA / game 0.64

Athletic Palermo Compare

Top Goalscorer Zalazar S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bonfiglio F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AS Acireale 32 / 100
Athletic Palermo 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AS Acireale Athletic Palermo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Athletic Palermo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

AS Acireale's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Athletic Palermo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: AS Acireale stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AS Acireale VS Athletic Palermo
0.43 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 2.13
43% Over 1.5 75%
29% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

AS Acireale

(Home)
10 May
Vibonese
1 : 0
AS Acireale
03 May
Vibonese
1 : 0
AS Acireale
26 Apr
AS Acireale
0 : 0
USD Ragusa
19 Apr
Gelbison
2 : 1
AS Acireale
12 Apr
AS Acireale
0 : 0
Nissa
Page 1 of 6

Athletic Palermo

(Away)
27 Sept
Athletic Palermo
3 : 0
Milazzo
20 Sept
Vibonese
3 : 0
Athletic Palermo
16 Sept
Athletic Palermo
1 : 1
Digiesse PraiaTortora
13 Sept
Athletic Palermo
3 : 0
Enna
06 Sept
Siracusa
4 : 2
Athletic Palermo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 A.C. Savoia 34 20 9 5 63:29 69
2 Nissa 34 19 10 5 51:27 67
3 Reggina 34 20 6 8 44:23 66
4 Athletic Palermo 34 18 6 10 59:47 60
5 Gelbison 34 17 9 8 44:32 60
6 Sambiase 34 14 11 9 38:30 53
7 Igea Virtus 34 15 13 6 49:36 53
8 Milazzo 34 12 8 14 31:36 44
9 Gela 34 13 5 16 41:44 43
10 Lamezia 34 11 9 14 43:35 42
11 Castrumfavara 34 10 8 16 38:47 38
12 Enna 34 8 12 14 50:53 36
13 Vibonese 34 8 11 15 32:47 35
14 USD Ragusa 34 7 13 14 23:34 34
15 ACR Messina 34 11 13 10 28:33 32
16 AS Acireale 34 7 12 15 37:50 32
17 Sancataldese 34 7 8 19 31:49 29
18 Paterno 34 4 7 23 22:72 19
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 (Play Out)