Sport Picks

Stadium Background

AS Acireale vs Portici 1906

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Maltese S.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 game between AS Acireale and Portici 1906 finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AS Acireale.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
AS Acireale
6%
Draws
4%
Portici 1906
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: AS Acireale

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and AS Acireale come out ahead of Portici 1906 on wins alone.
  • AS Acireale are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and AS Acireale have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
AS Acireale Clean Sheet 68%
Portici 1906 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AS Acireale Portici 1906
Matches Played 49 29
Wins 16 8
Draws 17 8
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 1.25 0
Goals Conceded 2.13 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 4, 2024 Serie D - Group I
Portici 1906 vs AS Acireale
0:1
Oct 8, 2023 Serie D - Group I
AS Acireale vs Portici 1906
1:0
Apr 10, 2022 Serie D - Group I
Portici 1906 vs AS Acireale
0:1
Nov 28, 2021 Serie D - Group I
AS Acireale vs Portici 1906
1:1
Apr 28, 2019 Serie D - Group I
AS Acireale vs Portici 1906
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AS Acireale Compare

Top Goalscorer Maltese S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Portici 1906 Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AS Acireale 95 / 100
Portici 1906 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AS Acireale Portici 1906

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ACI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portici 1906 has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

AS Acireale scored in 78% of their last 49 games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Portici 1906's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

AS Acireale VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

AS Acireale

(Home)
10 May
Vibonese
1 : 0
AS Acireale
03 May
Vibonese
1 : 0
AS Acireale
26 Apr
AS Acireale
0 : 0
USD Ragusa
19 Apr
Gelbison
2 : 1
AS Acireale
12 Apr
AS Acireale
0 : 0
Nissa
Page 1 of 10

Portici 1906

(Away)
05 May
Akragas
1 : 0
Portici 1906
28 Apr
Portici 1906
0 : 1
Vibonese
21 Apr
Castrovillari
1 : 1
Portici 1906
14 Apr
Portici 1906
0 : 5
Trapani
07 Apr
USD Ragusa
4 : 0
Portici 1906
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Trapani34304095:1594
2Siracusa34256379:2681
3Vibonese34226667:2972
4Reggina34198754:2565
5AS Acireale341591039:4154
6S. Agata341571246:3552
7Real Casalnuovo341561352:4951
8USD Ragusa341481241:3850
9Canicatti341461455:5148
10Igea Virtus341361538:4045
11Licata341271543:5443
12Akragas341261642:5342
13Sancataldese349101532:4337
14Portici 190634881832:5532
15San Luca346121637:5529
16Locri 190934772034:6828
17Castrovillari342122029:7617
18Nuova Gioiese34322918:8011
19Lamezia Terme00000:00
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 (Play Out)