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AS Agareb vs BS Bouhajla Prediction & H2H Stats

Tunisia Tunisia

Ligue 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

59' Event
Moussa J.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 2 2025/2026 game between AS Agareb and BS Bouhajla finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AS Agareb.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
AS Agareb
35%
Draws
32%
BS Bouhajla
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • BS Bouhajla have managed 0.97 goals a game lately — AS Agareb are scoring more at 1.03.
  • Model gives AS Agareb a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
AS Agareb Clean Sheet 20%
BS Bouhajla Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AS Agareb BS Bouhajla
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 9
Draws 7 9
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.03 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 21, 2026 Ligue 2
AS Agareb vs BS Bouhajla
1:0
Nov 22, 2025 Ligue 2
BS Bouhajla vs AS Agareb
3:1
Feb 15, 2025 Ligue 2
AS Agareb vs BS Bouhajla
1:4
Oct 27, 2024 Ligue 2
BS Bouhajla vs AS Agareb
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AS Agareb 42 / 100
BS Bouhajla 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AS Agareb BS Bouhajla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: AS Agareb scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: BS Bouhajla conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.75 goals per match.

AS Agareb went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AS Agareb VS BS Bouhajla
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

AS Agareb

(Home)
03 Oct
AS Agareb
0 : 3
Sporting Ben Arous
26 Sept
Stade Soussien
2 : 2
AS Agareb
11 May
Sfax Railways
2 : 1
AS Agareb
01 May
AS Agareb
1 : 0
Msaken
27 Apr
Bousalem
1 : 1
AS Agareb
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BS Bouhajla

(Away)
04 Oct
BS Bouhajla
0 : 0
Soliman
26 Sept
ES Beni-Khalled
1 : 2
BS Bouhajla
21 May
BS Bouhajla
0 : 3
Esperance Tunis
11 May
BS Bouhajla
0 : 1
US Tataouine
01 May
Megrine
1 : 1
BS Bouhajla
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hamam-Sousse 26 15 6 5 40:19 51
2 Hammam-Lif 26 15 6 5 36:14 51
3 US Tataouine 26 15 6 5 34:16 51
4 Sfax Railways 26 13 7 6 35:26 46
5 Sporting Ben Arous 26 8 10 8 30:19 34
6 Kerkennah 26 8 10 8 27:27 34
7 Chebba 26 8 9 9 33:37 33
8 Msaken 26 7 10 9 23:28 31
9 BS Bouhajla 26 7 9 10 21:23 30
10 Megrine 26 7 9 10 25:35 30
11 EM Mahdia 26 6 10 10 18:25 28
12 AS Agareb 26 7 7 12 22:33 28
13 Bousalem 26 6 7 13 19:34 25
14 Menzel Bourguiba 26 3 8 15 15:42 17
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PS Sakiet Eddaier 26 16 8 2 54:15 56
2 Stade Gabesien 26 15 8 3 43:16 53
3 Kasserine 26 14 5 7 31:18 47
4 Jendouba Sport 26 9 11 6 34:24 38
5 Korba 26 9 10 7 21:20 37
6 Bouchamma 26 9 8 9 35:30 35
7 Gafsa 26 9 7 10 28:31 34
8 Ariana 26 8 8 10 26:32 32
9 Ksour Essef 26 9 5 12 40:34 32
10 Redeyef 26 8 8 10 27:39 32
11 Kalaa 26 9 3 14 28:44 30
12 Moknine 26 7 8 11 29:36 29
13 Djelma 26 6 8 12 16:33 26
14 Sidi Bouzid 26 3 5 18 17:57 14
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)