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AS Agareb vs Sporting Ben Arous - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Tunisia Tunisia

Ligue 2
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Omrani O.
50' Event
Touzri M.
90' Event
Mallat O.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 2 game between AS Agareb and Sporting Ben Arous finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sporting Ben Arous.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
AS Agareb
30%
Draws
41%
Sporting Ben Arous
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sporting Ben Arous

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Sporting Ben Arous carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Sporting Ben Arous are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Ligue 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
AS Agareb Clean Sheet 20%
Sporting Ben Arous Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AS Agareb Sporting Ben Arous
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 10
Draws 7 10
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.8
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Ligue 2
AS Agareb vs Sporting Ben Arous
0:3
Apr 13, 2026 Ligue 2
Sporting Ben Arous vs AS Agareb
0:1
Jan 10, 2026 Tunisia Cup
AS Agareb vs Sporting Ben Arous
3:2
Nov 16, 2025 Ligue 2
AS Agareb vs Sporting Ben Arous
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AS Agareb Compare

Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Sporting Ben Arous Compare

Top Goalscorer Omrani O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Touzri M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AS Agareb 10 / 100
Sporting Ben Arous 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AS Agareb Sporting Ben Arous

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sporting Ben Arous Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.25 goals when they meet.

AS Agareb found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

AS Agareb has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Sporting Ben Arous let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

AS Agareb VS Sporting Ben Arous
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 0.63
38% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

AS Agareb

(Home)
03 Oct
AS Agareb
0 : 3
Sporting Ben Arous
26 Sept
Stade Soussien
2 : 2
AS Agareb
11 May
Sfax Railways
2 : 1
AS Agareb
01 May
AS Agareb
1 : 0
Msaken
27 Apr
Bousalem
1 : 1
AS Agareb
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Sporting Ben Arous

(Away)
03 Oct
AS Agareb
0 : 3
Sporting Ben Arous
26 Sept
Sporting Ben Arous
1 : 2
EM Mahdia
11 May
Sporting Ben Arous
6 : 0
Menzel Bourguiba
01 May
US Tataouine
1 : 0
Sporting Ben Arous
27 Apr
Sporting Ben Arous
1 : 1
Megrine
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 EM Mahdia 2 2 0 0 4:2 6
2 Soliman 2 1 1 0 4:1 4
3 Megrine 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
4 Msaken 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
5 Sfax Railways 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
6 BS Bouhajla 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
7 Sporting Ben Arous 2 1 0 1 4:2 3
8 US Tataouine 2 1 0 1 2:4 3
9 ES Beni-Khalled 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
10 Stade Soussien 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
11 AS Gabes 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
12 Chebba 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
13 AS Agareb 2 0 1 1 2:5 1
14 Kerkennah 2 0 0 2 2:4 0
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Redeyef 2 2 0 0 6:0 6
2 Kasserine 2 2 0 0 3:1 6
3 JS Kairouan 2 2 0 0 2:0 6
4 Ksour Essef 2 1 1 0 1:0 4
5 Korba 2 1 0 1 3:1 3
6 Kalaa 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
7 Jendouba Sport 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
8 Bouchamma 2 1 0 1 1:3 3
9 Stade Gabesien 2 0 2 0 1:1 2
10 Ariana 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
11 Olympique Kef 2 0 1 1 0:1 1
12 Moknine 2 0 1 1 0:3 1
13 CO Medenine 2 0 0 2 1:3 0
14 Gafsa 2 0 0 2 1:5 0
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)