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AS Biellese vs Vado

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

29'
Graziano G.
32' Event
Ciccone N.
69' Event
Menabo S.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 game between AS Biellese and Vado finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vado.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
AS Biellese
20%
Draws
0%
Vado
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: AS Biellese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • AS Biellese have managed 1.59 goals a game lately — Vado are scoring more at 1.93.
  • AS Biellese are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 22.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
AS Biellese Clean Sheet 20%
Vado Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AS Biellese Vado
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 14
Draws 8 6
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 1.59 1.93
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Vado vs AS Biellese
3:2
Dec 21, 2025 Serie D - Group A
AS Biellese vs Vado
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AS Biellese Compare

Top Goalscorer Menabo S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Di Cesare A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Vado Compare

Top Goalscorer Raffini S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ciccone N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.55

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AS Biellese 85 / 100
Vado 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AS Biellese Vado

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AS Biellese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AS Biellese found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Difficult form: Vado registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Vado has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

AS Biellese VS Vado
1.2 Goals Scored 1.38
0.6 Goals Conceded 1.5
60% Over 1.5 88%
20% Over 2.5 63%
20% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

AS Biellese

(Home)
20 Sept
AS Biellese
1 : 1
Chisola
16 Sept
Bra
0 : 1
AS Biellese
13 Sept
AS Biellese
3 : 1
Ligorna
06 Sept
Saluzzo
1 : 1
AS Biellese
09 May
AS Biellese
1 : 2
Varese FC
Page 1 of 6

Vado

(Away)
20 Sept
Vado
0 : 1
Pescara
16 Sept
Livorno
3 : 2
Vado
12 Sept
Vado
0 : 1
Campobasso
06 Sept
Reggiana
3 : 1
Vado
02 Sept
Spezia
3 : 0
Vado
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vado 34 24 6 4 69:24 78
2 Ligorna 34 21 9 4 64:26 72
3 AS Biellese 34 16 9 9 48:29 57
4 Varese FC 34 16 8 10 43:43 56
5 Chisola 34 16 7 11 44:36 55
6 Sestri Levante 34 15 9 10 54:34 54
7 Sanremese 34 13 10 11 37:30 49
8 Valenzana 34 12 9 13 33:48 45
9 Celle Varazze 34 12 8 14 41:47 44
10 Saluzzo 34 11 10 13 48:44 43
11 Club Milano 34 12 6 16 43:49 42
12 Imperia Calcio 34 10 11 13 36:44 41
13 Cairese 34 9 13 12 29:34 40
14 Derthona FbC 34 11 7 16 36:46 40
15 Gozzano 34 9 12 13 37:42 39
16 Asti Calcio 34 8 11 15 32:42 35
17 Lavagnese 34 5 12 17 32:52 27
18 NovaRomentin 34 6 3 25 26:82 16
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Out)