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AS Capoise vs Mirebalais

Haiti Haiti

Championnat National 2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mirebalais in this Championnat National 2021 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mirebalais.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
AS Capoise
35%
Draws
53%
Mirebalais
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Mirebalais

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to AS Capoise lately — more wins on the board than Mirebalais.
  • Model gives Mirebalais a 53% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
AS Capoise Clean Sheet 20%
Mirebalais Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AS Capoise Mirebalais
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 6
Draws 8 15
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 0.8 0.66
Goals Conceded 0.87 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2021 Championnat National
AS Capoise vs Mirebalais
0:1
Oct 4, 2020 Championnat National
Mirebalais vs AS Capoise
1:3
Sep 15, 2019 Championnat National
AS Capoise vs Mirebalais
0:0
Mar 14, 2019 Championnat National
Mirebalais vs AS Capoise
0:3
Sep 2, 2018 Championnat National
Mirebalais vs AS Capoise
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AS Capoise 12 / 100
Mirebalais 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AS Capoise Mirebalais

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mirebalais Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Mirebalais conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

AS Capoise's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

AS Capoise went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AS Capoise VS Mirebalais
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

AS Capoise

(Home)
28 Jul
AS Capoise
0 : 3
La Clery
26 Jul
AS Capoise
0 : 3
Academy Eagles
01 Jun
AS Capoise
2 : 3
Juventus
28 May
AS Capoise
0 : 0
Fica
25 May
Fica
1 : 1
AS Capoise
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Mirebalais

(Away)
30 May
Mirebalais
1 : 1
Cosmopolites
23 May
Racing Haitien
1 : 1
Mirebalais
19 May
Real du Cap
0 : 1
Mirebalais
09 May
AS Capoise
0 : 1
Mirebalais
06 May
Mirebalais
1 : 1
Don Bosco
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Don Bosco 8 4 4 0 14:5 16
2 Mirebalais 9 3 6 0 8:5 15
3 Ouanaminthe 9 4 3 2 8:6 15
4 Rivartibonitienne 9 3 5 1 7:6 14
5 Arcahaie 6 3 3 0 7:1 12
6 Cavaly 6 3 3 0 9:4 12
7 Fica 9 3 3 3 5:4 12
8 Tempete 8 3 3 2 7:8 12
9 AS Capoise 9 3 2 4 6:5 11
10 Triomphe Liancourt 8 2 4 2 8:6 10
11 Real du Cap 9 3 1 5 10:11 10
12 Violette 9 2 4 3 7:8 10
13 Racing des Gonaives 9 2 4 3 4:7 10
14 America des Cayes 7 2 2 3 7:7 8
15 Juventus 8 2 2 4 5:8 8
16 Baltimore 8 1 3 4 6:9 6
17 Racing Haitien 8 1 3 4 8:16 6
18 Cosmopolites 7 1 1 5 3:13 4
Promotion - Championnat National 2021 (Serie de Cloture - Play Offs)
Promotion - Championnat National 2021 (Serie de Cloture - Play Offs)