Sport Picks
AS Douanes vs Sonabel Ouagadougou
Burkina Faso
Premier League Stade Demba Diop, Dakar 
Match Events
38'
38'
Compaore H.
40'
40'
Nikiema K.
Assist: Banao D.
59'
59'
Kone A.
Assist: Ouedraogo V. A.
AI Match Summary
AS Douanes in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored AS Douanes.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Sonabel Ouagadougou haven't matched AS Douanes's recent run of results.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
AS Douanes Clean Sheet 30%
Sonabel Ouagadougou Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | AS Douanes | Sonabel Ouagadougou |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 8 |
| Draws | 13 | 12 |
| Losses | 7 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 0.97 | 0.8 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.97 | 0.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 0.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 26, 2026 Premier League
AS Douanes vs Sonabel Ouagadougou
2:1
Oct 5, 2025 Premier League
Sonabel Ouagadougou vs AS Douanes
0:0
Apr 19, 2025 Premier League
AS Douanes vs Sonabel Ouagadougou
0:1
Oct 27, 2024 Premier League
Sonabel Ouagadougou vs AS Douanes
0:0
May 12, 2024 Premier League
Sonabel Ouagadougou vs AS Douanes
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
AS Douanes Compare
Top Goalscorer Compaore H.
1 Goals Assists Leader Nikiema K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47
Sonabel Ouagadougou Compare
Top Goalscorer Kone A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.51
Avg xA / game 0.31
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
AS Douanes 38 / 100
Sonabel Ouagadougou 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AS Douanes Sonabel Ouagadougou
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sonabel Ouagadougou Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: AS Douanes scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.
Sonabel Ouagadougou has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.
Recent resilience: AS Douanes stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Games between these two average 1.00 goals.
Scoring Trends
AS Douanes VS Sonabel Ouagadougou
0.75 Goals Scored 0.63
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
38% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
AS Douanes
(Home) 10 May
AS Douanes
1 : 2 CFFEB
03 May
Salitas
2 : 1 AS Douanes
26 Apr
AS Douanes
2 : 1 Sonabel Ouagadougou
17 Apr
AS Douanes
1 : 1 AJE Bobo-Dioulasso
10 Apr
Vitesse
0 : 1 AS Douanes
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10 May
AS Douanes
1 : 2 CFFEB
26 Apr
AS Douanes
2 : 1 Sonabel Ouagadougou
17 Apr
AS Douanes
1 : 1 AJE Bobo-Dioulasso
04 Apr
AS Douanes
0 : 2 Etoile Filante
13 Mar
AS Douanes
1 : 0 Real Du Faso
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Sonabel Ouagadougou
(Away) 10 May
Sonabel Ouagadougou
1 : 0 ASFA Yennega
03 May
Sonabel Ouagadougou
2 : 0 ASF Dioulasso
26 Apr
AS Douanes
2 : 1 Sonabel Ouagadougou
18 Apr
Bobo-Dioulasso
1 : 0 Sonabel Ouagadougou
12 Apr
Sonabel Ouagadougou
1 : 1 CFFEB
Page 1 of 6
26 Apr
AS Douanes
2 : 1 Sonabel Ouagadougou
18 Apr
Bobo-Dioulasso
1 : 0 Sonabel Ouagadougou
21 Mar
Majestic
2 : 2 Sonabel Ouagadougou
13 Mar
Vitesse
2 : 0 Sonabel Ouagadougou
22 Feb
Salitas
0 : 0 Sonabel Ouagadougou
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rahimo | 30 | 20 | 9 | 1 | 47:15 | 69 |
| 2 | USFA | 30 | 12 | 13 | 5 | 31:17 | 49 |
| 3 | Sporting Cascades | 30 | 10 | 13 | 7 | 25:18 | 43 |
| 4 | AS Douanes | 30 | 10 | 13 | 7 | 29:29 | 43 |
| 5 | Majestic | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 26:27 | 43 |
| 6 | CFFEB | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 25:25 | 40 |
| 7 | Salitas | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 29:31 | 40 |
| 8 | Kadiogo | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 27:27 | 38 |
| 9 | ASFA Yennega | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 24:28 | 38 |
| 10 | Vitesse | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 25:25 | 37 |
| 11 | Real Du Faso | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 21:23 | 37 |
| 12 | ASF Dioulasso | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 25:31 | 37 |
| 13 | Sonabel Ouagadougou | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 24:28 | 36 |
| 14 | Etoile Filante | 30 | 7 | 12 | 11 | 22:29 | 33 |
| 15 | Bobo-Dioulasso | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 11:28 | 27 |
| 16 | AJE Bobo-Dioulasso | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 27:37 | 26 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
