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AS Dragon vs Lautoka

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Champions League 2018
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Naidu P.
35'
Duee S.
39'
Sub
Leduc L. In: Gendron C.
Out: Leduc L.

AI Match Summary

Lautoka in this OFC Champions League 2018 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
AS Dragon
15%
Draws
57%
Lautoka
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lautoka

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Lautoka have won more games recently than AS Dragon.
  • Model gives Lautoka a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Lautoka arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Lautoka, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
AS Dragon Clean Sheet 14%
Lautoka Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AS Dragon Lautoka
Matches Played 21 31
Wins 6 18
Draws 3 6
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 1.48 2.1
Goals Conceded 2.33 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.61
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2018 OFC Champions League
AS Dragon vs Lautoka
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AS Dragon Compare

Top Goalscorer Tetauira T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Lautoka Compare

Top Goalscorer Naidu P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kaltack B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.46
Avg xA / game 0.89

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AS Dragon 11 / 100
Lautoka 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AS Dragon Lautoka

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lautoka Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lautoka's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Lautoka lost 3 of their last 5 games.

AS Dragon's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 21 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Lautoka
0 Goals Scored 2.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

AS Dragon

(Home)
30 Nov
SU Dives
6 : 1
AS Dragon
17 Nov
AS Dragon
3 : 2
Avranches
25 Feb
Pirae
7 : 3
AS Dragon
18 Feb
AS Dragon
0 : 2
Pirae
18 Nov
Versailles
2 : 0
AS Dragon
Page 1 of 5

Lautoka

(Away)
16 Aug
Lautoka
2 : 1
Nadi
14 Aug
Labasa
5 : 3
Lautoka
02 Aug
Lautoka
3 : 1
Nadroga
26 Jul
Ba
4 : 1
Lautoka
19 Jul
Lautoka
1 : 2
Nasinu
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Team Wellington 11
Lae City 0
Auckland City 2
Solomon Warriors 0
AS Dragon 1
Lautoka 2
Nalkutan 1
Marist 2
Semi-finals
Team Wellington 2
Auckland City 2
Lautoka 2
Marist 1
Final
Team Wellington 10
Lautoka 3