Sport Picks

Stadium Background

AS-Fabregues vs Agde

France France

Coupe de France 2019/2020
Sat, Nov 16, 2019
3 - 1
01:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Pron T.
42' Event
Derrar Y.
101' Event
Yagousseti M.

AI Match Summary

AS-Fabregues in this Coupe de France 2019/2020 tie, finishing 3-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
AS-Fabregues
15%
Draws
21%
Agde
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AS-Fabregues

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Agde lately — more wins on the board than AS-Fabregues.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on AS-Fabregues taking it.
  • Agde arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor AS-Fabregues, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
AS-Fabregues Clean Sheet 20%
Agde Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AS-Fabregues Agde
Matches Played 15 30
Wins 9 11
Draws 0 3
Losses 6 16
Goals Scored 1.63 1
Goals Conceded 1.5 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 16, 2019 Coupe de France
AS-Fabregues vs Agde
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AS-Fabregues Compare

Top Goalscorer Derrar Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Yagousseti M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Agde Compare

Top Goalscorer Pron T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AS-Fabregues 85 / 100
Agde 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AS-Fabregues Agde

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ASF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AS-Fabregues's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 15 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Agde has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: AS-Fabregues remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

AS-Fabregues VS Agde
1.63 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

AS-Fabregues

(Home)
06 Jan
AS-Fabregues
1 : 4
Trelissac
10 Dec
AS-Fabregues
3 : 2
Cannes
19 Nov
AS-Fabregues
3 : 2
Valincu
21 Feb
Ales
2 : 0
AS-Fabregues
14 Feb
AS-Fabregues
4 : 1
Castelnau
Page 1 of 3

Agde

(Away)
16 Nov
Agde
0 : 2
Montpellier
30 Nov
Agde
1 : 5
Le Puy-en-Velay
16 Nov
Agde
2 : 1
Romorantin
30 Oct
Agde
2 : 3
Colomiers
28 Nov
Bas d'Avignon
1 : 0
Agde
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
US Vandoeuvre 2
Luneville 0
Football Avenir de Theix 2
Red Star 3
Lons 1
Annecy 2
Beauvais 1
Chambly 4
Frejus Saint Raphael 2
Grenoble 1
Ales 1
Lattes 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nice -
Saint-Jean 0
Bayonne 1
Liguaire Niort 1
Fontenay 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nantes -
Rivieres 3
Chassieu Decines 1
Troyes 0
Bourg Peronnas 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lyon -
Montlouis 1
AF Virois 2
Sainte-Marienne 2
Versailles 3
CEP Lorient 1
Plabennec 3
Granville 2
Caennaise 0
Bergerac 1
Clermont 0
Trelissac 2
Stade Montois 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Marseille -
La Baule 0
Angouleme CFC 1
Saint-Flour 3
AC Ajaccio 1
Challans 3
Le Poire Sur Vie 0
Rodeo 0
Colomiers 1
Pont Sainte Maxence 1
USM Senlis 2
Verton 0
Le Portel 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Strasbourg -
Hombourg-Haut 1
Forbach 0
Charitoise 0
Auxerre 4
Prix les Mezieres 2
Wasquehal 0
Cambrai 0
Quevilly 1
Annecy-le-Vieux 0
Limonest 4
Bourgoin Jallieu 0
Villefranche 2
Saint-Galmier 0
St-Etienne Cote Chaude 1
EUGA Ardziv 0
Le Puy-en-Velay 1
Tourcoing 5
Calais Pascal 0
St Maximin 0
Valenciennes 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dijon -
Tours 2
Chauray 0
Franciscain 1
Golden Star 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nimes -
Bourges 1
Sable 2
CS Betton Football 0
Concarneau 6
Albi-Marssac 2
Saint-Medard 1
Alberes Argeles 0
Pau 1
Bordeaux -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
JS Sireuil 1
Les Herbiers 7
CSM Gennevilliers 0
Le Mans 2
Dinan 0
Stade Pontivyen 1
Lorient 3
Guingamp 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brest -
La Fleche 2
Linas-Montlhery 3
Evreux 3
Mtsapere 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
PSG -
Olympique Marcquois 0
IC Croix 1
Sainte-Genevieve 0
Sannois 1
Sundhoffen 0
Mulhouse 3
Epinal 2
Sochaux 0
U.S. Mozac 2
FC Cournon d'Auvergne 3
Chateauroux 1
Niort 2
Jura Sud 0
Saint-Pierroise 1
Erstein 0
Thaon 2
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant 4
TA Rennes 0
Montagnarde 1
Stade Briochin 2
Gonfreville 1
Le Touquet 0
Sarre Union 0
Creteil 2
Oberschaeffolsheim 1
Raon L Etape 3
CA Boulay 2
Meaux 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lille -
Saint Georges 2
Cayenne 1
Moulins-Yzeure 1
Saint-Pryve 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Toulouse -
Monaco -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Reims -
ES Chilly 1
Hauts Lyonnais 0
AS-Fabregues 3
Agde 1
Olympique de Valence 3
Thonon-Evian 1
Amneville 0
Paris FC 2
ES Nanterre 2
Laval 0
US Noeux Les Mines 0
Borgo 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
St Etienne -
Moulien 0
Jeunesse 2
Belfort 1
GFC Ajaccio 0
Montceau 4
Geispolsheim 2
Venus 1
Besancon RC 4
Adamois 2
St Quentin 3
Olympique Lumbrois 3
Grande-Synthe 4
Pierrots Vauban 3
Hienghene Sport 1
Belfort Sud 1
Nancy 2
Reims Ste Anne 1
Cormontreuil 0
Le Havre 1
Dunkerque 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Montpellier -
F.C. Guichen 2
Saint-Pierre Milizac 1
Le Rheu 4
Paimpol 3
Ancienne Chateau-Gontier 0
Chartres 1
ASI Murs-Erigne 0
Caen 6
Saint-Omer 0
Dieppe 1
Lens 3
Boulogne 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Angers -
Gravelines 2
Rouen 3
Villemomble 1
Orleans 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Metz -
RC Grasse 2
Marseille Endoume 0
FC Lyon 0
Athletico Marseille 1
Stade Poitevin 5
FC Nueillaubiers 0
Auch 0
Rodez 5
Rennes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Amiens SC -
1/64-finals
US Vandoeuvre 2
Red Star 3
Annecy 1
Chambly 2
Frejus Saint Raphael 2
Ales 1
TBD -
Nice -
Bayonne 4
Fontenay 1
TBD -
Nantes -
Rivieres 0
Bourg Peronnas 2
TBD -
Lyon -
AF Virois 0
Versailles 3
Plabennec 0
Granville 2
Bergerac 0
Trelissac 1
TBD -
Marseille -
Angouleme CFC 5
Saint-Flour 1
Challans 2
Colomiers 1
USM Senlis 0
Le Portel 1
TBD -
Strasbourg -
Hombourg-Haut 2
Auxerre 1
Prix les Mezieres 3
Quevilly 1
Limonest 2
Villefranche 1
St-Etienne Cote Chaude 0
Le Puy-en-Velay 1
Tourcoing 1
Valenciennes 2
TBD -
Dijon -
Tours 2
Franciscain 1
TBD -
Nimes -
Sable 2
Concarneau 0
Albi-Marssac 1
Pau 4
Bordeaux -
TBD -
Les Herbiers 1
Le Mans 2
Stade Pontivyen 0
Lorient 1
TBD -
Brest -
Linas-Montlhery 3
Evreux 1
TBD -
PSG -
IC Croix 0
Sannois 1
Mulhouse 2
Epinal 3
FC Cournon d'Auvergne 0
Niort 2
Saint-Pierroise 2
Thaon 1
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant 0
Stade Briochin 1
Gonfreville 5
Creteil 2
Raon L Etape 6
CA Boulay 2
TBD -
Lille -
Saint Georges 0
Saint-Pryve 6
TBD -
Toulouse -
Monaco -
TBD -
TBD -
Reims -
ES Chilly 0
AS-Fabregues 1
Olympique de Valence 0
Paris FC 1
ES Nanterre 1
Borgo 2
TBD -
St Etienne -
Jeunesse 0
Belfort 2
Montceau 3
Besancon RC 0
St Quentin 1
Grande-Synthe 3
Pierrots Vauban 1
Nancy 3
Reims Ste Anne 1
Dunkerque 0
TBD -
Montpellier -
F.C. Guichen 2
Le Rheu 1
Chartres 0
Caen 1
Dieppe 2
Lens 1
TBD -
Angers -
Rouen 1
Orleans 0
TBD -
Metz -
RC Grasse 1
Athletico Marseille 2
Stade Poitevin 1
Rodez 3
Rennes -
TBD -
TBD -
Amiens SC -
1/32-finals
Red Star 2
Chambly 1
Frejus Saint Raphael 0
Nice 2
Bayonne 0
Nantes 2
Bourg Peronnas 0
Lyon 7
Versailles 1
Granville 2
Trelissac 1
Marseille 2
Angouleme CFC 3
Challans 1
Le Portel 1
Strasbourg 4
Hombourg-Haut 0
Prix les Mezieres 3
Limonest 2
Le Puy-en-Velay 1
Valenciennes 1
Dijon 2
Tours 2
Nimes 3
Sable 2
Pau 3
Bordeaux 2
Le Mans 0
Lorient 2
Brest 1
Linas-Montlhery 0
PSG 6
Sannois 0
Epinal 1
Niort 1
Saint-Pierroise 2
Stade Briochin 1
Gonfreville 2
Raon L Etape 2
Lille 3
Saint-Pryve 1
Toulouse 0
Monaco 2
Reims 1
AS-Fabregues 0
Paris FC 2
Borgo 0
St Etienne 3
Belfort 3
Montceau 0
Grande-Synthe 0
Nancy 1
Reims Ste Anne 0
Montpellier 1
F.C. Guichen 1
Caen 2
Dieppe 1
Angers 3
Rouen 3
Metz 0
Athletico Marseille 2
Rodez 1
Rennes 1
Amiens SC 0
1/16-finals
Red Star 1
Nice 2
Nantes 3
Lyon 4
Granville 0
Marseille 3
Angouleme CFC 1
Strasbourg 5
Prix les Mezieres 0
Limonest 1
Dijon 5
Nimes 0
Pau 3
Bordeaux 2
Lorient 0
PSG 1
Epinal 1
Saint-Pierroise 0
Gonfreville 0
Lille 2
Saint-Pryve 1
Monaco 3
Paris FC 2
St Etienne 3
Belfort 3
Nancy 1
Montpellier 5
Caen 0
Angers 4
Rouen 1
Athletico Marseille 0
Rennes 2
1/8-finals
Nice 1
Lyon 2
Marseille 3
Strasbourg 1
Limonest 1
Dijon 2
Pau 0
PSG 2
Epinal 2
Lille 1
Monaco 0
St Etienne 1
Belfort 1
Montpellier 0
Angers 4
Rennes 5
Quarter-finals
Lyon 1
Marseille 0
Dijon 1
PSG 6
Epinal 1
St Etienne 2
Belfort 0
Rennes 3
Semi-finals
Lyon 1
PSG 5
St Etienne 2
Rennes 1
Final
PSG 1
St Etienne 0