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AS Fortuna Mfou vs Tonnerre - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Cameroon Cameroon

Elite Two
Sat, Nov 14, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

AS Fortuna Mfou host Tonnerre in the Elite Two. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: AS Fortuna Mfou at 0.83 goals for, 1.86 against; Tonnerre at 1.14 for, 1.1 against. Head-to-head, AS Fortuna Mfou have won 4 to Tonnerre's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on May 30, 2022, ending 2:3. xG projections (0.94 - 1.50) back Tonnerre to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
AS Fortuna Mfou
35%
Draws
37%
Tonnerre
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Tonnerre

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Tonnerre have won more games recently than AS Fortuna Mfou.
  • 37% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Elite Two form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors AS Fortuna Mfou here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
AS Fortuna Mfou Clean Sheet 16%
Tonnerre Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AS Fortuna Mfou Tonnerre
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 5 11
Draws 8 5
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 0.83 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2022 Elite One
Tonnerre vs AS Fortuna Mfou
2:3
Apr 13, 2022 Elite One
AS Fortuna Mfou vs Tonnerre
5:1
Feb 19, 2020 Elite One
AS Fortuna Mfou vs Tonnerre
1:0
Nov 10, 2019 Elite One
Tonnerre vs AS Fortuna Mfou
2:0
Sep 19, 2017 Elite Two
AS Fortuna Mfou vs Tonnerre
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AS Fortuna Mfou 36 / 100
Tonnerre 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AS Fortuna Mfou Tonnerre

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tonnerre Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: AS Fortuna Mfou stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: AS Fortuna Mfou scored in 48% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Tonnerre conceded in 59% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

AS Fortuna Mfou VS Tonnerre
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

AS Fortuna Mfou

(Home)
01 Jul
APEJES Academy
2 : 0
AS Fortuna Mfou
27 Jun
AS Fortuna Mfou
1 : 2
Stade Renard
21 Jun
Fauve Azur Elite
2 : 4
AS Fortuna Mfou
14 Jun
AS Fortuna Mfou
2 : 1
Victoria United
07 Jun
AS Fortuna Mfou
1 : 1
Bamenda
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Tonnerre

(Away)
24 Oct
Tonnerre
2 : 0
Sable
21 Jun
Sable
2 : 2
Tonnerre
18 Jun
Tonnerre
1 : 1
Yafoot
16 Jun
Bafmeng United
0 : 0
Tonnerre
13 Jun
Tonnerre
1 : 0
AS Fap
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Les Astres 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
2 Tonnerre 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
3 Bamboutos FC 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
4 Elecsport 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
5 Mintack 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
6 AS Fortuna Mfou 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 Avion Academy 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 AS Fap 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Atlantic 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Sable 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
11 Fauve Azur Elite 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
12 Kumba 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - Elite One 2027/2028 (Main)