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AS Gabes vs Bembla

Tunisia Tunisia

Ligue 2 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Sebai R.
54' Event
Mansour H.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 2 2022/2023 game between AS Gabes and Bembla finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AS Gabes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
AS Gabes
15%
Draws
73%
Bembla
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bembla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

12% / Low Confidence
  • Bembla's 0.93 goals per match outpaces what AS Gabes have produced (0.61).
  • Win probability leans AS Gabes's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Ligue 2 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
AS Gabes Clean Sheet 68%
Bembla Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AS Gabes Bembla
Matches Played 38 30
Wins 7 7
Draws 11 9
Losses 20 14
Goals Scored 0.61 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2023 Ligue 2
AS Gabes vs Bembla
2:0
Nov 5, 2022 Ligue 2
Bembla vs AS Gabes
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AS Gabes Compare

Top Goalscorer Sebai R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mansour H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Bembla Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AS Gabes 50 / 100
Bembla 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AS Gabes Bembla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AS Gabes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Bembla conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Bembla's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

AS Gabes scored in 45% of their last 38 games.

Scoring Trends

AS Gabes VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

AS Gabes

(Home)
13 May
AS Gabes
0 : 1
Stade Tunisien
08 May
Soliman
1 : 0
AS Gabes
03 May
AS Gabes
0 : 2
JS Kairouan
29 Apr
Monastir
2 : 0
AS Gabes
25 Apr
AS Gabes
1 : 1
Metlaoui
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Bembla

(Away)
08 Apr
Bembla
2 : 4
Hammam-Lif
01 Feb
Bembla
3 : 1
Aigle Teboulba
26 May
AS Marsa
4 : 0
Bembla
21 May
Bembla
3 : 1
Espoir Rogba
14 May
Rades
5 : 1
Bembla
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