Sport Picks
AS Gabes vs Ben Guerdane
Tunisia
Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 Gabes Municipal Stadium, Gabes 
Match Events
17'
17'
27'
27'
30'
30'
Sub
Ben Hassine F. In: Naffati O.
Out: Ben Hassine F.
AI Match Summary
Ben Guerdane in this Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ben Guerdane.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
10%
20%
70%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ben Guerdane
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
70%
/ High Confidence
- AS Gabes haven't matched Ben Guerdane's recent run of results.
- 70% — that's where the model lands on Ben Guerdane taking it.
- Regular Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 16%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23.6%
AS Gabes Clean Sheet 18%
Ben Guerdane Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | AS Gabes | Ben Guerdane |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 3 | 8 |
| Draws | 8 | 9 |
| Losses | 19 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0.43 | 0.61 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.4 | 0.86 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.56 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 10, 2026 Ligue Professionnelle 1
AS Gabes vs Ben Guerdane
0:1
Oct 18, 2025 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Ben Guerdane vs AS Gabes
1:1
Apr 20, 2025 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Ben Guerdane vs AS Gabes
3:0
Dec 20, 2024 Ligue Professionnelle 1
AS Gabes vs Ben Guerdane
1:1
Feb 3, 2019 Ligue Professionnelle 1
AS Gabes vs Ben Guerdane
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
AS Gabes Compare
Avg xG / game 0.43
Avg xA / game 0.28
Ben Guerdane Compare
Top Goalscorer M'Ghezzi Bakhouche A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
AS Gabes 23 / 100
Ben Guerdane 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AS Gabes Ben Guerdane
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ben Guerdane Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.
AS Gabes scored in 37% of their last 30 games.
Ben Guerdane's defensive record shows goals conceded in 50% of 28 matches.
AS Gabes has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
AS Gabes VS Ben Guerdane
0.38 Goals Scored 0.63
2 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 25%
13% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
AS Gabes
(Home) 13 May
AS Gabes
0 : 1 Stade Tunisien
08 May
Soliman
1 : 0 AS Gabes
03 May
AS Gabes
0 : 2 JS Kairouan
29 Apr
Monastir
2 : 0 AS Gabes
25 Apr
AS Gabes
1 : 1 Metlaoui
Page 1 of 6
13 May
AS Gabes
0 : 1 Stade Tunisien
03 May
AS Gabes
0 : 2 JS Kairouan
25 Apr
AS Gabes
1 : 1 Metlaoui
10 Apr
AS Gabes
0 : 1 Ben Guerdane
06 Mar
AS Gabes
0 : 2 Jeunesse Sportive
Page 1 of 3
Ben Guerdane
(Away) 14 May
Ben Guerdane
0 : 1 Esperance Tunis
08 May
Stade Tunisien
0 : 0 Ben Guerdane
03 May
Ben Guerdane
0 : 1 Soliman
30 Apr
JS Kairouan
0 : 1 Ben Guerdane
25 Apr
Ben Guerdane
2 : 0 Monastir
Page 1 of 6
08 May
Stade Tunisien
0 : 0 Ben Guerdane
30 Apr
JS Kairouan
0 : 1 Ben Guerdane
10 Apr
AS Gabes
0 : 1 Ben Guerdane
22 Mar
Msaken
4 : 1 Ben Guerdane
27 Feb
Jeunesse Sportive
2 : 1 Ben Guerdane
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club Africain | 30 | 19 | 9 | 2 | 43:10 | 66 |
| 2 | Esperance Tunis | 30 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 45:11 | 63 |
| 3 | CS Sfaxien | 30 | 18 | 8 | 4 | 44:13 | 62 |
| 4 | Stade Tunisien | 30 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 28:14 | 48 |
| 5 | Monastir | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 28:19 | 45 |
| 6 | Zarzis | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 30:28 | 41 |
| 7 | Etoile Sahel | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 28:30 | 41 |
| 8 | Metlaoui | 30 | 9 | 13 | 8 | 19:25 | 40 |
| 9 | Jeunesse Sportive | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 24:33 | 36 |
| 10 | Ben Guerdane | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 18:22 | 35 |
| 11 | AS Marsa | 30 | 11 | 2 | 17 | 26:33 | 35 |
| 12 | CA Bizertin | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 18:29 | 33 |
| 13 | Olympique Beja | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 18:39 | 32 |
| 14 | JS Kairouan | 30 | 9 | 4 | 17 | 20:41 | 31 |
| 15 | Soliman | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 15:31 | 27 |
| 16 | AS Gabes | 30 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 11:37 | 18 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2026/2027 (Main)
