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Stadium Background

AS Gabes vs Chebba - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Tunisia Tunisia

Ligue 2 Gabes Municipal Stadium, Gabes
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

AS Gabes host Chebba in the Ligue 2. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. AS Gabes have averaged 0.52 scored and 1.27 conceded recently, against Chebba's 1.25 scored and 1.31 conceded. Past meetings favor AS Gabes slightly — 3-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 7, 2024, ending 0:1. xG projections (0.88 - 1.88) back Chebba to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
AS Gabes
20%
Draws
70%
Chebba
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Chebba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Chebba lately — more wins on the board than AS Gabes.
  • Model gives Chebba a 70% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors AS Gabes here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
AS Gabes Clean Sheet 10%
Chebba Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AS Gabes Chebba
Matches Played 33 32
Wins 4 10
Draws 10 11
Losses 19 11
Goals Scored 0.52 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 7, 2024 Ligue 2
Chebba vs AS Gabes
0:1
Dec 21, 2023 Ligue 2
AS Gabes vs Chebba
2:0
Oct 22, 2022 Ligue 2
Chebba vs AS Gabes
0:0
Mar 16, 2014 Tunisia Cup
Chebba vs AS Gabes
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AS Gabes 18 / 100
Chebba 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AS Gabes Chebba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chebba Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chebba let in goals in 66% of their last 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

AS Gabes found the back of the net in 42% of recent matches (33 games).

Solid form: AS Gabes remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

AS Gabes VS Chebba
0.38 Goals Scored 1.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

AS Gabes

(Home)
03 Oct
Sfax Railways
0 : 0
AS Gabes
26 Sept
AS Gabes
1 : 2
Megrine
13 May
AS Gabes
0 : 1
Stade Tunisien
08 May
Soliman
1 : 0
AS Gabes
03 May
AS Gabes
0 : 2
JS Kairouan
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Chebba

(Away)
03 Oct
Msaken
0 : 0
Chebba
26 Sept
Chebba
1 : 2
Sfax Railways
11 May
Msaken
2 : 4
Chebba
01 May
Chebba
5 : 1
Bousalem
27 Apr
BS Bouhajla
3 : 0
Chebba
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 EM Mahdia 2 2 0 0 4:2 6
2 Soliman 2 1 1 0 4:1 4
3 Megrine 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
4 Msaken 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
5 Sfax Railways 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
6 BS Bouhajla 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
7 Sporting Ben Arous 2 1 0 1 4:2 3
8 US Tataouine 2 1 0 1 2:4 3
9 ES Beni-Khalled 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
10 Stade Soussien 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
11 AS Gabes 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
12 Chebba 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
13 AS Agareb 2 0 1 1 2:5 1
14 Kerkennah 2 0 0 2 2:4 0
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Redeyef 2 2 0 0 6:0 6
2 Kasserine 2 2 0 0 3:1 6
3 JS Kairouan 2 2 0 0 2:0 6
4 Ksour Essef 2 1 1 0 1:0 4
5 Korba 2 1 0 1 3:1 3
6 Kalaa 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
7 Jendouba Sport 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
8 Bouchamma 2 1 0 1 1:3 3
9 Stade Gabesien 2 0 2 0 1:1 2
10 Ariana 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
11 Olympique Kef 2 0 1 1 0:1 1
12 Moknine 2 0 1 1 0:3 1
13 CO Medenine 2 0 0 2 1:3 0
14 Gafsa 2 0 0 2 1:5 0
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)