Sport Picks
Match Events
13'
13'
Sub
Belghith M. In: Ahoudo G.
Out: Belghith M.
18'
18'
Dridi Y.
26'
26'
Sub
Gadiaga I. In: Douihech N.
Out: Gadiaga I.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
12%
15%
73%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Monastir
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
73%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Monastir lately — more wins on the board than AS Gabes.
- 73% — that's where the model lands on Monastir taking it.
- Regular Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 18%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24%
AS Gabes Clean Sheet 19%
Monastir Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | AS Gabes | Monastir |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 3 | 11 |
| Draws | 8 | 8 |
| Losses | 19 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 0.43 | 0.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.4 | 0.83 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.63 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 29, 2026 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Monastir vs AS Gabes
2:0
Nov 1, 2025 Ligue Professionnelle 1
AS Gabes vs Monastir
1:1
Feb 9, 2025 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Monastir vs AS Gabes
5:0
Sep 29, 2024 Ligue Professionnelle 1
AS Gabes vs Monastir
0:0
May 19, 2024 Tunisia Cup
Monastir vs AS Gabes
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
AS Gabes Compare
Top Goalscorer Ahoudo G.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32
Monastir Compare
Top Goalscorer Chikhaoui R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
AS Gabes 16 / 100
Monastir 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AS Gabes Monastir
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Monastir Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.
Monastir lost 3 of their last 5 games.
AS Gabes's goal record stands at 37% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Monastir has conceded goals in 55% of their last 29 outings.
Scoring Trends
AS Gabes VS Monastir
0.38 Goals Scored 0.5
2 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
AS Gabes
(Home) 13 May
AS Gabes
0 : 1 Stade Tunisien
08 May
Soliman
1 : 0 AS Gabes
03 May
AS Gabes
0 : 2 JS Kairouan
29 Apr
Monastir
2 : 0 AS Gabes
25 Apr
AS Gabes
1 : 1 Metlaoui
Page 1 of 6
13 May
AS Gabes
0 : 1 Stade Tunisien
03 May
AS Gabes
0 : 2 JS Kairouan
25 Apr
AS Gabes
1 : 1 Metlaoui
10 Apr
AS Gabes
0 : 1 Ben Guerdane
06 Mar
AS Gabes
0 : 2 Jeunesse Sportive
Page 1 of 3
Monastir
(Away) 14 May
Monastir
3 : 0 Soliman
08 May
JS Kairouan
1 : 0 Monastir
04 May
Monastir
0 : 1 Metlaoui
29 Apr
Monastir
2 : 0 AS Gabes
25 Apr
Ben Guerdane
2 : 0 Monastir
Page 1 of 6
08 May
JS Kairouan
1 : 0 Monastir
25 Apr
Ben Guerdane
2 : 0 Monastir
04 Apr
Jeunesse Sportive
0 : 0 Monastir
28 Feb
CA Bizertin
0 : 0 Monastir
07 Feb
Etoile Sahel
1 : 0 Monastir
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club Africain | 30 | 19 | 9 | 2 | 43:10 | 66 |
| 2 | Esperance Tunis | 30 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 45:11 | 63 |
| 3 | CS Sfaxien | 30 | 18 | 8 | 4 | 44:13 | 62 |
| 4 | Stade Tunisien | 30 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 28:14 | 48 |
| 5 | Monastir | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 28:19 | 45 |
| 6 | Zarzis | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 30:28 | 41 |
| 7 | Etoile Sahel | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 28:30 | 41 |
| 8 | Metlaoui | 30 | 9 | 13 | 8 | 19:25 | 40 |
| 9 | Jeunesse Sportive | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 24:33 | 36 |
| 10 | Ben Guerdane | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 18:22 | 35 |
| 11 | AS Marsa | 30 | 11 | 2 | 17 | 26:33 | 35 |
| 12 | CA Bizertin | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 18:29 | 33 |
| 13 | Olympique Beja | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 18:39 | 32 |
| 14 | JS Kairouan | 30 | 9 | 4 | 17 | 20:41 | 31 |
| 15 | Soliman | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 15:31 | 27 |
| 16 | AS Gabes | 30 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 11:37 | 18 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2026/2027 (Main)
