Sport Picks

Stadium Background

AS Gabes vs Stade Tunisien

Tunisia Tunisia

Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 Gabes Municipal Stadium, Gabes
AS Gabes Logo

AS Gabes

0 - 1
FT
Stade Tunisien Logo

Stade Tunisien

Our Tip

Match Events

44'
Sub
Fessi M. In: Naffati O.
Out: Fessi M.
'
46'
Sub
Toure Y. In: Camara B.
Out: Toure Y.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Stade Tunisien in this Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Stade Tunisien.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

8%
AS Gabes
30%
Draws
62%
Stade Tunisien
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Stade Tunisien

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Stade Tunisien have won more games recently than AS Gabes.
  • Win probability leans Stade Tunisien's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Stade Tunisien have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
AS Gabes Clean Sheet 19%
Stade Tunisien Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AS Gabes Stade Tunisien
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 3 9
Draws 7 11
Losses 19 9
Goals Scored 0.45 1
Goals Conceded 1.45 0.76
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2026 Ligue Professionnelle 1
AS Gabes vs Stade Tunisien
0:1
Nov 23, 2025 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Stade Tunisien vs AS Gabes
4:0
Feb 22, 2025 Ligue Professionnelle 1
AS Gabes vs Stade Tunisien
1:0
Oct 27, 2024 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Stade Tunisien vs AS Gabes
2:1
Apr 21, 2019 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Stade Tunisien vs AS Gabes
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AS Gabes Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Stade Tunisien Compare

Top Goalscorer Saafi Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AS Gabes 16 / 100
Stade Tunisien 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AS Gabes Stade Tunisien

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stade Tunisien Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: AS Gabes scored in 38% of their last 29 outings.

Stade Tunisien's defensive record shows goals conceded in 52% of 29 matches.

AS Gabes has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

AS Gabes VS Stade Tunisien
0.38 Goals Scored 0.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

AS Gabes

(Home)
13 May
AS Gabes
0 : 1
Stade Tunisien
08 May
Soliman
1 : 0
AS Gabes
03 May
AS Gabes
0 : 2
JS Kairouan
29 Apr
Monastir
2 : 0
AS Gabes
25 Apr
AS Gabes
1 : 1
Metlaoui
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Stade Tunisien

(Away)
12 Sept
Hamam-Sousse
1 : 3
Stade Tunisien
29 Aug
Monastir
2 : 1
Stade Tunisien
22 Aug
Stade Tunisien
1 : 1
CS Sfaxien
13 May
AS Gabes
0 : 1
Stade Tunisien
08 May
Stade Tunisien
0 : 0
Ben Guerdane
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club Africain 30 19 9 2 43:10 66
2 Esperance Tunis 30 18 9 3 45:11 63
3 CS Sfaxien 30 18 8 4 44:13 62
4 Stade Tunisien 30 12 12 6 28:14 48
5 Monastir 30 11 12 7 28:19 45
6 Zarzis 30 11 8 11 30:28 41
7 Etoile Sahel 30 11 8 11 28:30 41
8 Metlaoui 30 9 13 8 19:25 40
9 Jeunesse Sportive 30 10 6 14 24:33 36
10 Ben Guerdane 30 8 11 11 18:22 35
11 AS Marsa 30 11 2 17 26:33 35
12 CA Bizertin 30 8 9 13 18:29 33
13 Olympique Beja 30 9 5 16 18:39 32
14 JS Kairouan 30 9 4 17 20:41 31
15 Soliman 30 6 9 15 15:31 27
16 AS Gabes 30 3 9 18 11:37 18
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Main)