Sport Picks

Stadium Background

AS Gabes vs Stade Tunisien

Tunisia Tunisia

Ligue Professionnelle 1 Gabes Municipal Stadium, Gabes
Our Tip

Match Events

44'
Sub
Fessi M. In: Naffati O.
Out: Fessi M.
'
46'
Sub
Toure Y. In: Camara B.
Out: Toure Y.

AI Match Summary

Stade Tunisien in this Ligue Professionnelle 1 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Stade Tunisien.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
AS Gabes
39%
Draws
30%
Stade Tunisien
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Stade Tunisien have won more games recently than AS Gabes.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Ligue Professionnelle 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Stade Tunisien have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22.8%
AS Gabes Clean Sheet 15%
Stade Tunisien Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AS Gabes Stade Tunisien
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 3 11
Draws 8 12
Losses 19 8
Goals Scored 0.38 1.13
Goals Conceded 2 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2026 Ligue Professionnelle 1
AS Gabes vs Stade Tunisien
0:1
Nov 23, 2025 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Stade Tunisien vs AS Gabes
4:0
Feb 22, 2025 Ligue Professionnelle 1
AS Gabes vs Stade Tunisien
1:0
Oct 27, 2024 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Stade Tunisien vs AS Gabes
2:1
Apr 21, 2019 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Stade Tunisien vs AS Gabes
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AS Gabes Compare

Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19

Stade Tunisien Compare

Top Goalscorer Saafi Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AS Gabes 31 / 100
Stade Tunisien 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AS Gabes Stade Tunisien

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick STA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Difficult form: Stade Tunisien registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

AS Gabes's goal record stands at 37% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Stade Tunisien has conceded goals in 42% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

AS Gabes VS Stade Tunisien
0.38 Goals Scored 1.13
2 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

AS Gabes

(Home)
13 May
AS Gabes
0 : 1
Stade Tunisien
08 May
Soliman
1 : 0
AS Gabes
03 May
AS Gabes
0 : 2
JS Kairouan
29 Apr
Monastir
2 : 0
AS Gabes
25 Apr
AS Gabes
1 : 1
Metlaoui
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Stade Tunisien

(Away)
13 May
AS Gabes
0 : 1
Stade Tunisien
08 May
Stade Tunisien
0 : 0
Ben Guerdane
03 May
Club Africain
2 : 0
Stade Tunisien
29 Apr
Stade Tunisien
1 : 2
Jeunesse Sportive
26 Apr
CS Sfaxien
1 : 0
Stade Tunisien
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Club Africain30199243:1066
2Esperance Tunis30189345:1163
3CS Sfaxien30188444:1362
4Stade Tunisien301212628:1448
5Monastir301112728:1945
6Zarzis301181130:2841
7Etoile Sahel301181128:3041
8Metlaoui30913819:2540
9Jeunesse Sportive301061424:3336
10Ben Guerdane308111118:2235
11AS Marsa301121726:3335
12CA Bizertin30891318:2933
13Olympique Beja30951618:3932
14JS Kairouan30941720:4131
15Soliman30691515:3127
16AS Gabes30391811:3718
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2026/2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2026/2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2026/2027 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2026/2027 (Main)