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AS Garde Nationale vs Police

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Super Ligue
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

AS Garde Nationale play Police in the Super Ligue. It looks like a close match. Recently, AS Garde Nationale averaged 1.27 goals scored and 0.7 conceded. Police averaged 1.3 goals scored and 0.7 conceded. In past meetings, AS Garde Nationale won 3, Police won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jun 19, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.63 for AS Garde Nationale and 0.69 for Police. This points to a AS Garde Nationale double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
AS Garde Nationale
29%
Draws
33%
Police
Draw rate projection: 29% Favored: AS Garde Nationale

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • AS Garde Nationale picked up more points recently compared to Police.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.63 vs 0.69 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 58%
Over 2.5 Goals 37%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40%
AS Garde Nationale Clean Sheet 28%
Police Clean Sheet 21%
First Half Goal 52%
Second Half Goal 55%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AS Garde Nationale Police
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 14
Draws 11 9
Losses 5 7
Goals Scored 1.27 1.3
Goals Conceded 0.7 0.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 0.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 19, 2026 Super Ligue
AS Garde Nationale vs Police
1:1
Oct 18, 2025 Super Ligue
Police vs AS Garde Nationale
1:2
Apr 5, 2025 Super Ligue
AS Garde Nationale vs Police
0:2
Feb 16, 2025 Super Ligue
Police vs AS Garde Nationale
0:1
May 13, 2024 Super Ligue
Police vs AS Garde Nationale
0:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AS Garde Nationale 40 / 100
Police 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AS Garde Nationale Police

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: AS Garde Nationale or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26.5%
3.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +19.5%
3.23
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

AS Garde Nationale attacking → ← attacking Police

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AS Garde Nationale scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Police let in goals in 50% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

AS Garde Nationale went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Police lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

53 Points in last 5 51
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.75
0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.25