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AS Garde Nationale vs Liberte - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Super Ligue 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

The Super Ligue 2025/2026 game between AS Garde Nationale and Liberte finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AS Garde Nationale.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
AS Garde Nationale
30%
Draws
23%
Liberte
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: AS Garde Nationale

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and AS Garde Nationale come out ahead of Liberte on wins alone.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on AS Garde Nationale taking it.
  • Regular Super Ligue 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
AS Garde Nationale Clean Sheet 68%
Liberte Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AS Garde Nationale Liberte
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 5
Draws 12 12
Losses 3 12
Goals Scored 1.17 0.79
Goals Conceded 0.55 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 15, 2026 Super Ligue
AS Garde Nationale vs Liberte
1:0
Jan 3, 2026 Super Ligue
Liberte vs AS Garde Nationale
2:2
Jun 22, 2025 Super Ligue
Liberte vs AS Garde Nationale
1:0
Dec 3, 2024 Super Ligue
AS Garde Nationale vs Liberte
1:2
Jun 15, 2024 Super Ligue
AS Garde Nationale vs Liberte
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AS Garde Nationale 95 / 100
Liberte 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AS Garde Nationale Liberte

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AS Garde Nationale Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Liberte let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

Attacking prowess: AS Garde Nationale scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Solid form: AS Garde Nationale remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

AS Garde Nationale VS Liberte
1.63 Goals Scored 0.75
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

AS Garde Nationale

(Home)
04 Oct
AS ZAM
0 : 2
AS Garde Nationale
22 Sept
AS Garde Nationale
3 : 1
Niima
19 Sept
Douanes Niamey
1 : 0
AS Garde Nationale
11 Sept
AS Garde Nationale
2 : 0
Tagour
06 Sept
JS Tahoua
0 : 0
AS Garde Nationale
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Liberte

(Away)
04 Oct
Niima
1 : 0
Liberte
27 Sept
ASFAN
1 : 1
Liberte
18 Sept
Liberte
:
Espoir
12 Sept
Urana
0 : 0
Liberte
04 Sept
Liberte
0 : 2
Sahel
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nigelec 30 20 6 4 48:24 66
2 US Gendarmerie 30 17 9 4 48:17 60
3 ASFAN 30 16 7 7 38:24 55
4 AS Garde Nationale 30 14 11 5 38:21 53
5 Police 30 14 9 7 39:21 51
6 Douanes Niamey 30 12 11 7 33:21 47
7 Espoir 30 9 10 11 31:35 37
8 AS ZAM 30 10 7 13 39:46 37
9 Sahel 30 10 5 15 21:23 35
10 JS Tahoua 30 10 5 15 36:51 35
11 Tagour 30 7 12 11 32:40 33
12 Urana 30 8 9 13 28:36 33
13 Liberte 30 7 11 12 28:46 32
14 AS UAM 30 8 8 14 25:34 32
15 Olympic Niamey 30 5 10 15 24:44 25
16 Renaissance 30 4 8 18 23:48 20
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