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AS Garde Nationale vs Police

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Super Ligue
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AI Match Summary

The Super Ligue game between AS Garde Nationale and Police finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
AS Garde Nationale
33%
Draws
27%
Police
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: AS Garde Nationale

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • AS Garde Nationale's 1 goals per match outpaces what Police have produced (0.75).
  • Model gives AS Garde Nationale a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Super Ligue form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
AS Garde Nationale Clean Sheet 20%
Police Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AS Garde Nationale Police
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 14
Draws 11 9
Losses 5 7
Goals Scored 1 0.75
Goals Conceded 0.63 0.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 0.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 19, 2026 Super Ligue
AS Garde Nationale vs Police
1:1
Oct 18, 2025 Super Ligue
Police vs AS Garde Nationale
1:2
Apr 5, 2025 Super Ligue
AS Garde Nationale vs Police
0:2
Feb 16, 2025 Super Ligue
Police vs AS Garde Nationale
0:1
May 13, 2024 Super Ligue
Police vs AS Garde Nationale
0:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AS Garde Nationale 40 / 100
Police 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AS Garde Nationale Police

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ASG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AS Garde Nationale found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Solid form: AS Garde Nationale remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Police has conceded goals in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

AS Garde Nationale VS Police
1 Goals Scored 0.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.25
50% Over 1.5 25%
38% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%