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AS Garde Nationale vs Sahel - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Niger Niger

Super Ligue
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
03:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

AS Garde Nationale host Sahel in the Super Ligue. Little to choose between these two on current form. Sahel have shipped 0.77 goals a game lately, while AS Garde Nationale have conceded 0.53 and scored 1.2. Head-to-head, AS Garde Nationale have won 3 to Sahel's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 28, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.19 - 0.88) back AS Garde Nationale to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
AS Garde Nationale
30%
Draws
30%
Sahel
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: AS Garde Nationale

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Sahel haven't matched AS Garde Nationale's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans AS Garde Nationale's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Super Ligue form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
AS Garde Nationale Clean Sheet 20%
Sahel Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AS Garde Nationale Sahel
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 11
Draws 11 6
Losses 3 13
Goals Scored 1.2 0.83
Goals Conceded 0.53 0.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Super Ligue
Sahel vs AS Garde Nationale
0:0
Jan 25, 2026 Super Ligue
AS Garde Nationale vs Sahel
1:0
Jun 16, 2025 Super Ligue
AS Garde Nationale vs Sahel
0:1
Dec 7, 2024 Super Ligue
Sahel vs AS Garde Nationale
0:1
Jun 19, 2024 Super Ligue
Sahel vs AS Garde Nationale
2:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AS Garde Nationale 49 / 100
Sahel 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AS Garde Nationale Sahel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AS Garde Nationale Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: AS Garde Nationale scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Sahel has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: AS Garde Nationale stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AS Garde Nationale VS Sahel
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

AS Garde Nationale

(Home)
11 Oct
Liberte
1 : 2
AS Garde Nationale
04 Oct
AS ZAM
0 : 2
AS Garde Nationale
22 Sept
AS Garde Nationale
3 : 1
Niima
19 Sept
Douanes Niamey
1 : 0
AS Garde Nationale
11 Sept
AS Garde Nationale
2 : 0
Tagour
Page 1 of 6

Sahel

(Away)
10 Oct
Sahel
1 : 1
Police
04 Oct
Urana
1 : 1
Sahel
26 Sept
Sahel
3 : 1
Tagour
20 Sept
Sahel
1 : 0
JS Tahoua
13 Sept
Niima
1 : 1
Sahel
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 US Gendarmerie 6 6 0 0 12:2 18
2 AS Garde Nationale 6 4 1 1 9:3 13
3 Sahel 6 3 3 0 9:4 12
4 Urana 6 3 2 1 6:7 11
5 ASFAN 6 2 3 1 8:6 9
6 Niima 6 1 4 1 5:6 7
7 Tagour 6 2 1 3 4:7 7
8 Police 5 1 3 1 4:3 6
9 Wombeye 6 1 3 2 4:4 6
10 Douanes Niamey 6 1 3 2 3:5 6
11 AS UAM 6 1 3 2 3:5 6
12 Espoir 6 1 2 3 3:6 5
13 Liberte 6 1 2 3 2:6 5
14 Nigelec 5 0 3 2 0:2 3
15 AS ZAM 5 0 3 2 2:5 3
16 JS Tahoua 5 0 2 3 2:5 2
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)