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AS Garde Nationale vs Sahel

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Super Ligue 2025/2026
AS Garde Nationale Logo

AS Garde Nationale

1 - 0
FT
Sahel Logo

Sahel

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

AS Garde Nationale in this Super Ligue 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored AS Garde Nationale.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
AS Garde Nationale
30%
Draws
43%
Sahel
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sahel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • AS Garde Nationale have won more games recently than Sahel.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on AS Garde Nationale taking it.
  • Regular Super Ligue 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23.6%
AS Garde Nationale Clean Sheet 68%
Sahel Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AS Garde Nationale Sahel
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 11
Draws 12 6
Losses 5 13
Goals Scored 1.07 0.8
Goals Conceded 0.67 0.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Super Ligue
Sahel vs AS Garde Nationale
0:0
Jan 25, 2026 Super Ligue
AS Garde Nationale vs Sahel
1:0
Jun 16, 2025 Super Ligue
AS Garde Nationale vs Sahel
0:1
Dec 7, 2024 Super Ligue
Sahel vs AS Garde Nationale
0:1
Jun 19, 2024 Super Ligue
Sahel vs AS Garde Nationale
2:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AS Garde Nationale 51 / 100
Sahel 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AS Garde Nationale Sahel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AS Garde Nationale scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Sahel let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

AS Garde Nationale has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

AS Garde Nationale VS Sahel
1.25 Goals Scored 1
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

AS Garde Nationale

(Home)
22 Sept
AS Garde Nationale
3 : 1
Niima
19 Sept
Douanes Niamey
1 : 0
AS Garde Nationale
11 Sept
AS Garde Nationale
2 : 0
Tagour
06 Sept
JS Tahoua
0 : 0
AS Garde Nationale
19 Jun
AS Garde Nationale
1 : 1
Police
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Sahel

(Away)
26 Sept
Sahel
3 : 1
Tagour
20 Sept
Sahel
1 : 0
JS Tahoua
13 Sept
Niima
1 : 1
Sahel
04 Sept
Liberte
0 : 2
Sahel
19 Jun
Sahel
2 : 1
Renaissance
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nigelec 30 20 6 4 48:24 66
2 US Gendarmerie 30 17 9 4 48:17 60
3 ASFAN 30 16 7 7 38:24 55
4 AS Garde Nationale 30 14 11 5 38:21 53
5 Police 30 14 9 7 39:21 51
6 Douanes Niamey 30 12 11 7 33:21 47
7 Espoir 30 9 10 11 31:35 37
8 AS ZAM 30 10 7 13 39:46 37
9 Sahel 30 10 5 15 21:23 35
10 JS Tahoua 30 10 5 15 36:51 35
11 Tagour 30 7 12 11 32:40 33
12 Urana 30 8 9 13 28:36 33
13 Liberte 30 7 11 12 28:46 32
14 AS UAM 30 8 8 14 25:34 32
15 Olympic Niamey 30 5 10 15 24:44 25
16 Renaissance 30 4 8 18 23:48 20
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)