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AS Garde Nationale vs Urana

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Super Ligue
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

AS Garde Nationale play Urana in the Super Ligue. It looks like a close match. Recently, AS Garde Nationale averaged 1 goals scored and 0.63 conceded. Urana averaged 0.63 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. In past meetings, AS Garde Nationale won 2, Urana won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Apr 26, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.06 for AS Garde Nationale and 0.63 for Urana. This points to a AS Garde Nationale double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
AS Garde Nationale
6%
Draws
4%
Urana
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: AS Garde Nationale

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • AS Garde Nationale has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Urana.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for AS Garde Nationale.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Super Ligue provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
AS Garde Nationale Clean Sheet 20%
Urana Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AS Garde Nationale Urana
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 8
Draws 11 9
Losses 5 13
Goals Scored 1 0.63
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Super Ligue
AS Garde Nationale vs Urana
0:1
Dec 21, 2025 Super Ligue
Urana vs AS Garde Nationale
0:1
Jun 3, 2025 Super Ligue
Urana vs AS Garde Nationale
0:0
Jan 3, 2025 Super Ligue
AS Garde Nationale vs Urana
1:0
May 17, 2024 Super Ligue
AS Garde Nationale vs Urana
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AS Garde Nationale 85 / 100
Urana 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AS Garde Nationale Urana

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ASG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AS Garde Nationale scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Urana let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 0.60 goals.

AS Garde Nationale went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Urana lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AS Garde Nationale VS Urana
1 Goals Scored 0.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%