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AS Kigali vs Mukura Victory Sports

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Premier League
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AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between AS Kigali and Mukura Victory Sports finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
AS Kigali
40%
Draws
29%
Mukura Victory Sports
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mukura Victory Sports come out ahead of AS Kigali on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
AS Kigali Clean Sheet 68%
Mukura Victory Sports Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AS Kigali Mukura Victory Sports
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 7 11
Draws 12 9
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 0.75 1
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2026 Premier League
AS Kigali vs Mukura Victory Sports
1:1
Oct 25, 2025 Premier League
Mukura Victory Sports vs AS Kigali
2:0
Apr 26, 2025 Premier League
AS Kigali vs Mukura Victory Sports
1:1
Nov 3, 2024 Premier League
Mukura Victory Sports vs AS Kigali
0:0
Apr 21, 2024 Premier League
Mukura Victory Sports vs AS Kigali
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AS Kigali 42 / 100
Mukura Victory Sports 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AS Kigali Mukura Victory Sports

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AS Kigali found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (31 games).

Mukura Victory Sports's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

AS Kigali has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

AS Kigali VS Mukura Victory Sports
0.75 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

AS Kigali

(Home)
30 May
AS Kigali
2 : 1
Musanze
22 May
Rutsiro
2 : 1
AS Kigali
15 May
AS Kigali
2 : 1
Gicumbi
10 May
APR
2 : 1
AS Kigali
06 May
Gorilla
2 : 1
AS Kigali
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Mukura Victory Sports

(Away)
30 May
Mukura Victory Sports
0 : 0
Amagaju
24 May
Gicumbi
3 : 2
Mukura Victory Sports
16 May
Mukura Victory Sports
2 : 2
Bugesera
09 May
Mukura Victory Sports
2 : 1
Gorilla
06 May
Mukura Victory Sports
0 : 0
Police
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Hilal Omdurman34236574:2575
2APR341911450:2868
3Al-Merreikh341611741:2459
4Rayon Sport341414640:3056
5Kiyovu341314734:2153
6Police341216629:1952
7Mukura Victory Sports3412111136:3847
8Marines341291347:4345
9Bugesera341281434:3944
10Musanze3411101338:3743
11Gorilla3410101431:4240
12Gicumbi341081638:5438
13Etincelles347161132:4037
14AS Kigali348111527:3935
15Gasogi United348111529:4435
16Amagaju34981719:3835
17Muhanga34871925:4631
18Rutsiro346111730:4729
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2026/2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2026/2027 (Qualification)