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AS Kigali vs Musanze

Rwanda Rwanda

Premier League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

AS Kigali in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored AS Kigali.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
AS Kigali
44%
Draws
20%
Musanze
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Musanze have won more games recently than AS Kigali.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors AS Kigali here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
AS Kigali Clean Sheet 20%
Musanze Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AS Kigali Musanze
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 10
Draws 12 8
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 0.75 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.38 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Premier League
AS Kigali vs Musanze
2:1
Sep 20, 2025 Premier League
Musanze vs AS Kigali
1:0
Mar 1, 2025 Premier League
Musanze vs AS Kigali
1:2
Aug 26, 2024 Premier League
AS Kigali vs Musanze
1:0
Mar 8, 2024 Premier League
AS Kigali vs Musanze
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AS Kigali 36 / 100
Musanze 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AS Kigali Musanze

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MUS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AS Kigali's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Musanze has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

AS Kigali has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

AS Kigali VS Musanze
0.75 Goals Scored 0.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

AS Kigali

(Home)
30 May
AS Kigali
2 : 1
Musanze
22 May
Rutsiro
2 : 1
AS Kigali
15 May
AS Kigali
2 : 1
Gicumbi
10 May
APR
2 : 1
AS Kigali
06 May
Gorilla
2 : 1
AS Kigali
Page 1 of 6

Musanze

(Away)
30 May
AS Kigali
2 : 1
Musanze
24 May
Marines
1 : 1
Musanze
17 May
Musanze
3 : 2
Gasogi United
09 May
Musanze
0 : 0
Police
06 May
Rutsiro
0 : 0
Musanze
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Hilal Omdurman34236574:2575
2APR341911450:2868
3Al-Merreikh341611741:2459
4Rayon Sport341414640:3056
5Kiyovu341314734:2153
6Police341216629:1952
7Mukura Victory Sports3412111136:3847
8Marines341291347:4345
9Bugesera341281434:3944
10Musanze3411101338:3743
11Gorilla3410101431:4240
12Gicumbi341081638:5438
13Etincelles347161132:4037
14AS Kigali348111527:3935
15Gasogi United348111529:4435
16Amagaju34981719:3835
17Muhanga34871925:4631
18Rutsiro346111730:4729
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2026/2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2026/2027 (Qualification)