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AS Mansouria vs IR Tanger - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Morocco Morocco

Coupe du Trone 2021
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Moses B.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with AS Mansouria advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
AS Mansouria
30%
Draws
43%
IR Tanger
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: IR Tanger

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • IR Tanger carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives IR Tanger a 43% chance of winning this.
  • IR Tanger arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor AS Mansouria, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
AS Mansouria Clean Sheet 20%
IR Tanger Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AS Mansouria IR Tanger
Matches Played 5 29
Wins 2 12
Draws 1 9
Losses 2 8
Goals Scored 0.4 1.03
Goals Conceded 0.6 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 20, 2022 Coupe du Trone
AS Mansouria vs IR Tanger
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AS Mansouria Compare

Top Goalscorer Moses B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

IR Tanger Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AS Mansouria 24 / 100
IR Tanger 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AS Mansouria IR Tanger

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IR Tanger Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: IR Tanger conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: AS Mansouria remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: AS Mansouria scored in 40% of their last 5 outings.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

AS Mansouria VS IR Tanger
0 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

AS Mansouria

(Home)
22 Jul
KAC Kenitra
2 : 0
AS Mansouria
18 Jul
AS Mansouria
0 : 0
KAC Kenitra
07 Jul
AS Mansouria
0 : 1
Berkane
20 Mar
AS Mansouria
1 : 0
IR Tanger
12 Mar
AS Mansouria
1 : 0
Moghreb Tetouan

IR Tanger

(Away)
02 Oct
IR Tanger
1 : 1
Moghreb Tetouan
24 Sept
Amal Tiznit
1 : 3
IR Tanger
19 Sept
IR Tanger
1 : 0
Widad Temara
13 Sept
IR Tanger
3 : 1
Yacoub El Mansour
14 Aug
FUS Rabat
0 : 0
IR Tanger
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Sidi Kacem 0
Chabab Mohammedia 1
Ittifaq Marrakech 1
Wydad Athletic 4
Jeunesse Massira 1
Raja Beni Mellal 2
Kasba Tadla 0
Raja Casablanca 1
Renaissance Zemamra 0
Hassania Agadir 1
FUS Rabat 2
Wydad Fes 1
Ittihad Khemisset 0
Chabab Atlas Khenifra 3
US Temara 0
Union Touarga 2
AS Mansouria 1
Moghreb Tetouan 0
IR Tanger 1
FATH Casablanca 0
Rapide Oued Zem 1
Difaa El Jadidi 3
Berkane 2
Mouloudia Oujda 1
FAR Rabat 0
Maghreb Fez 2
Olympique de Safi 4
Amal Tiznit 1
Jeunesse Sportive Soualem 2
TAS Casablanca 1
Youssoufia Berrechid 1
Kawkab Marrakech 0
1/8-finals
Chabab Mohammedia 2
Wydad Athletic 3
Raja Beni Mellal 3
Raja Casablanca 4
Hassania Agadir 1
FUS Rabat 3
Chabab Atlas Khenifra 1
Union Touarga 2
AS Mansouria 1
IR Tanger 0
Difaa El Jadidi 0
Berkane 1
Maghreb Fez 3
Olympique de Safi 1
Jeunesse Sportive Soualem 1
Youssoufia Berrechid 2
Quarter-finals
Wydad Athletic 2
Raja Casablanca 0
FUS Rabat 3
Union Touarga 1
AS Mansouria 0
Berkane 1
Maghreb Fez 0
Youssoufia Berrechid 2
Semi-finals
Wydad Athletic 1
FUS Rabat 0
Berkane 3
Youssoufia Berrechid 2
Final
Wydad Athletic 0
Berkane 1