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AS Roma vs Cagliari - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie A Stadio Olimpico, Rome
Tue, Oct 27, 2026
VS
07:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

AS Roma host Cagliari in the Serie A. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. AS Roma have averaged 2.1 scored and 1.41 conceded recently, against Cagliari's 1 scored and 1.04 conceded. Past meetings favor AS Roma slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 9, 2026, ending 2:0. xG projections (1.44 - 0.94) back AS Roma to edge this. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
AS Roma
30%
Draws
39%
Cagliari
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cagliari

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • AS Roma have won more games recently than Cagliari.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
AS Roma Clean Sheet 20%
Cagliari Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AS Roma Cagliari
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 14 12
Draws 8 6
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 2.1 1
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 9, 2026 Serie A
AS Roma vs Cagliari
2:0
Dec 7, 2025 Serie A
Cagliari vs AS Roma
1:0
Mar 16, 2025 Serie A
AS Roma vs Cagliari
1:0
Aug 18, 2024 Serie A
Cagliari vs AS Roma
0:0
Feb 5, 2024 Serie A
AS Roma vs Cagliari
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AS Roma 32 / 100
Cagliari 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AS Roma Cagliari

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AS Roma found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (29 games).

Cagliari has conceded goals in 61% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

AS Roma went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AS Roma VS Cagliari
2.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

AS Roma

(Home)
17 Oct
AS Roma
2 : 0
Genoa
14 Oct
AS Roma
3 : 4
Real Madrid
11 Oct
Como
0 : 0
AS Roma
19 Sept
AS Roma
2 : 2
Inter
14 Sept
Torino
0 : 2
AS Roma
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Cagliari

(Away)
11 Oct
Cagliari
1 : 1
Juventus
19 Sept
Udinese
0 : 1
Cagliari
12 Sept
Atalanta
1 : 2
Cagliari
07 Sept
Cagliari
1 : 0
Lecce
03 Sept
Cagliari
1 : 2
Verona
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter 7 6 1 0 21:9 19
2 Lazio 7 6 1 0 14:4 19
3 AS Roma 7 5 2 0 16:3 17
4 AC Milan 7 4 3 0 14:7 15
5 Como 7 4 2 1 12:7 14
6 Cagliari 6 4 1 1 6:3 13
7 Frosinone 7 4 1 2 13:9 13
8 Juventus 7 3 2 2 9:8 11
9 Napoli 7 3 1 3 10:7 10
10 Atalanta 7 3 0 4 10:11 9
11 Lecce 7 3 0 4 9:12 9
12 Sassuolo 7 2 2 3 12:14 8
13 Torino 6 2 1 3 7:9 7
14 Bologna 7 1 2 4 6:10 5
15 Monza 6 1 1 4 9:15 4
16 Parma 6 1 1 4 4:10 4
17 Udinese 7 1 1 5 9:16 4
18 Genoa 7 1 1 5 5:13 4
19 Fiorentina 7 1 1 5 8:17 4
20 Venezia 7 1 0 6 6:16 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)