Sport Picks
Match Events
20'
20'
Adu P.
Assist: Jedlicka M.
22'
22'
Souare C.
Assist: Dweh S.
30'
30'
Durosinmi R.
AI Match Summary
The Europa League 2025/2026 game between AS Roma and Plzen finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Plzen.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
30%
31%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: AS Roma
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- AS Roma carry the better recent record into this one.
- 39% — that's where the model lands on AS Roma taking it.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
AS Roma Clean Sheet 11%
Plzen Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | AS Roma | Plzen |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 27 |
| Wins | 13 | 11 |
| Draws | 8 | 9 |
| Losses | 7 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 2.07 | 1.81 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.39 | 1.37 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 23, 2025 Europa League
AS Roma vs Plzen
1:2
Dec 12, 2018 Champions League
Plzen vs AS Roma
2:1
Oct 2, 2018 Champions League
AS Roma vs Plzen
5:0
Nov 24, 2016 Europa League
AS Roma vs Plzen
4:1
Sep 15, 2016 Europa League
Plzen vs AS Roma
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
AS Roma Compare
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
Plzen Compare
Top Goalscorer Adu P.
1 Goals Assists Leader Souare C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
AS Roma 38 / 100
Plzen 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AS Roma Plzen
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick AS Roma Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: AS Roma scored in 93% of their last 28 outings.
Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.
Plzen has conceded goals in 63% of their last 27 outings.
AS Roma went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
AS Roma VS Plzen
2.13 Goals Scored 2.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
AS Roma
(Home) 05 Sept
AS Roma
2 : 1 Atalanta
31 Aug
Lecce
0 : 4 AS Roma
24 Aug
AS Roma
4 : 0 Fiorentina
15 Aug
Dortmund
2 : 2 AS Roma
08 Aug
Brighton
3 : 0 AS Roma
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
AS Roma
2 : 1 Atalanta
24 Aug
AS Roma
4 : 0 Fiorentina
17 May
AS Roma
2 : 0 Lazio
04 May
AS Roma
4 : 0 Fiorentina
18 Apr
AS Roma
1 : 1 Atalanta
Page 1 of 3
Plzen
(Away) 09 Sept
Hradec Kralove
0 : 0 Plzen
05 Sept
Artis Brno
0 : 3 Plzen
30 Aug
Plzen
1 : 1 Slovacko
27 Aug
Plzen
5 : 1 Crvena zvezda
20 Aug
Crvena zvezda
3 : 0 Plzen
Page 1 of 6
09 Sept
Hradec Kralove
0 : 0 Plzen
05 Sept
Artis Brno
0 : 3 Plzen
20 Aug
Crvena zvezda
3 : 0 Plzen
08 Aug
Teplice
5 : 5 Plzen
24 May
Slavia Prague
3 : 0 Plzen
Page 1 of 2
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lyon | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 18:5 | 21 |
| 2 | Aston Villa | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 14:6 | 21 |
| 3 | Midtjylland | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 18:8 | 19 |
| 4 | Betis | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13:7 | 17 |
| 5 | FC Porto | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13:7 | 17 |
| 6 | Braga | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 11:5 | 17 |
| 7 | Freiburg | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 10:4 | 17 |
| 8 | AS Roma | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13:6 | 16 |
| 9 | Genk | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 11:7 | 16 |
| 10 | Bologna | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14:7 | 15 |
| 11 | VfB Stuttgart | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 15:9 | 15 |
| 12 | Ferencvaros | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 12:11 | 15 |
| 13 | Nottingham | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15:7 | 14 |
| 14 | Plzen | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 8:3 | 14 |
| 15 | Crvena zvezda | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 14 |
| 16 | Celta Vigo | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 15:11 | 13 |
| 17 | PAOK | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 17:14 | 12 |
| 18 | Lille | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12:9 | 12 |
| 19 | Fenerbahce | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:7 | 12 |
| 20 | Panathinaikos | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11:9 | 12 |
| 21 | Celtic | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13:15 | 11 |
| 22 | Ludogorets | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12:15 | 10 |
| 23 | Din. Zagreb | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12:16 | 10 |
| 24 | Brann | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:11 | 9 |
| 25 | Young Boys | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 10:16 | 9 |
| 26 | Sturm Graz | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5:11 | 7 |
| 27 | FCSB | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9:16 | 7 |
| 28 | G.A. Eagles | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6:14 | 7 |
| 29 | Feyenoord | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 11:15 | 6 |
| 30 | Basel | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 9:13 | 6 |
| 31 | Salzburg | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 10:15 | 6 |
| 32 | Rangers | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5:14 | 4 |
| 33 | Nice | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7:15 | 3 |
| 34 | Utrecht | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5:15 | 1 |
| 35 | Malmo FF | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4:15 | 1 |
| 36 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2:22 | 1 |
Promotion - Europa League 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Europa League 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)
