Sport Picks

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AS Roma W vs Lazio W

Italy Italy

Serie A Cup Women 2025/2026 Stadio Romeo Menti, Castellammare di Stabia
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Haavi E.
Assist: Pilgrim A.
26'
van Diemen S.
34'
D'Auria F.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-0, with AS Roma W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
AS Roma W
20%
Draws
33%
Lazio W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: AS Roma W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and AS Roma W come out ahead of Lazio W on wins alone.
  • Model gives AS Roma W a 47% chance of winning this.
  • AS Roma W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor AS Roma W, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors AS Roma W here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
AS Roma W Clean Sheet 20%
Lazio W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AS Roma W Lazio W
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 23 13
Draws 6 5
Losses 4 11
Goals Scored 1.91 1.34
Goals Conceded 0.85 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.91
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Serie A Women
Lazio W vs AS Roma W
1:2
Jan 28, 2026 Coppa Italia Women
AS Roma W vs Lazio W
3:0
Jan 21, 2026 Coppa Italia Women
Lazio W vs AS Roma W
0:0
Nov 16, 2025 Serie A Women
AS Roma W vs Lazio W
1:0
Sep 23, 2025 Serie A Cup Women
AS Roma W vs Lazio W
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AS Roma W Compare

Top Goalscorer Haavi E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Corelli A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Lazio W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.83
Avg xA / game 0.51

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AS Roma W 76 / 100
Lazio W 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AS Roma W Lazio W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AS Roma W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AS Roma W found the back of the net in 88% of recent matches (33 games).

Lazio W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: AS Roma W remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

AS Roma W VS Lazio W
1.38 Goals Scored 1.43
0.38 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 71%
25% Over 2.5 43%
13% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

AS Roma W

(Home)
27 Sept
Sassuolo W
1 : 3
AS Roma W
23 Sept
Leuven W
0 : 0
AS Roma W
19 Sept
Juventus W
3 : 2
AS Roma W
13 Sept
Sassuolo W
1 : 7
AS Roma W
05 Sept
AS Roma W
3 : 0
Fiorentina W
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Lazio W

(Away)
26 Sept
Lazio W
0 : 0
Parma W
06 Sept
Inter W
3 : 1
Lazio W
30 Aug
Lazio W
2 : 0
Parma W
23 Aug
Lazio W
4 : 2
Napoli W
17 May
Fiorentina W
2 : 1
Lazio W
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Juventus W 2
Inter W 1
AS Roma W 3
Lazio W 0
Final
Juventus W 3
AS Roma W 2