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AS UAM vs Nigelec - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Super Ligue 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

The Super Ligue 2025/2026 game between AS UAM and Nigelec finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nigelec.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
AS UAM
35%
Draws
19%
Nigelec
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: AS UAM

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Nigelec carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives AS UAM a 46% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Super Ligue 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Nigelec here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
AS UAM Clean Sheet 18%
Nigelec Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AS UAM Nigelec
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 14
Draws 8 8
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 0.83 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.21 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2026 Super Ligue
AS UAM vs Nigelec
0:1
Dec 5, 2025 Super Ligue
Nigelec vs AS UAM
2:1
Jun 25, 2025 Super Ligue
AS UAM vs Nigelec
0:1
Nov 26, 2024 Super Ligue
Nigelec vs AS UAM
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AS UAM 67 / 100
Nigelec 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AS UAM Nigelec

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AS UAM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AS UAM scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

H2H data points to 1.75 goals as a typical output.

AS UAM went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Nigelec's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

AS UAM VS Nigelec
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

AS UAM

(Home)
02 Oct
AS UAM
0 : 0
Douanes Niamey
27 Sept
AS UAM
1 : 1
Espoir
20 Sept
AS ZAM
0 : 1
AS UAM
13 Sept
AS UAM
0 : 2
Wombeye
06 Sept
Urana
2 : 1
AS UAM
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Nigelec

(Away)
04 Oct
Espoir
1 : 0
Nigelec
26 Sept
Nigelec
0 : 0
Police
23 Sept
US Gendarmerie
1 : 0
Nigelec
19 Sept
Nigelec
0 : 0
Niima
12 Sept
MC Alger
5 : 0
Nigelec
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nigelec 30 20 6 4 48:24 66
2 US Gendarmerie 30 17 9 4 48:17 60
3 ASFAN 30 16 7 7 38:24 55
4 AS Garde Nationale 30 14 11 5 38:21 53
5 Police 30 14 9 7 39:21 51
6 Douanes Niamey 30 12 11 7 33:21 47
7 Espoir 30 9 10 11 31:35 37
8 AS ZAM 30 10 7 13 39:46 37
9 Sahel 30 10 5 15 21:23 35
10 JS Tahoua 30 10 5 15 36:51 35
11 Tagour 30 7 12 11 32:40 33
12 Urana 30 8 9 13 28:36 33
13 Liberte 30 7 11 12 28:46 32
14 AS UAM 30 8 8 14 25:34 32
15 Olympic Niamey 30 5 10 15 24:44 25
16 Renaissance 30 4 8 18 23:48 20
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