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AS UAM vs Sahel

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Super Ligue 2025/2026
AS UAM Logo

AS UAM

1 - 0
FT
Sahel Logo

Sahel

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

AS UAM in this Super Ligue 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored AS UAM.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
AS UAM
15%
Draws
59%
Sahel
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sahel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Sahel have won more games recently than AS UAM.
  • Sahel are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Super Ligue 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
AS UAM Clean Sheet 20%
Sahel Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AS UAM Sahel
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 9
Draws 7 6
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 0.79 0.69
Goals Conceded 1.21 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2026 Super Ligue
AS UAM vs Sahel
1:0
Nov 23, 2025 Super Ligue
Sahel vs AS UAM
0:0
Apr 6, 2025 Super Ligue
AS UAM vs Sahel
0:2
Feb 20, 2025 Super Ligue
Sahel vs AS UAM
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AS UAM 20 / 100
Sahel 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AS UAM Sahel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sahel Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AS UAM scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Sahel's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: AS UAM stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AS UAM VS Sahel
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

AS UAM

(Home)
13 Sept
AS UAM
0 : 2
Wombeye
06 Sept
Urana
2 : 1
AS UAM
18 Jun
AS UAM
2 : 1
Tagour
08 Jun
AS UAM
0 : 3
US Gendarmerie
04 Jun
Urana
1 : 0
AS UAM
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Sahel

(Away)
13 Sept
Niima
1 : 1
Sahel
04 Sept
Liberte
0 : 2
Sahel
19 Jun
Sahel
2 : 1
Renaissance
12 Jun
Olympic Niamey
1 : 0
Sahel
03 Jun
Sahel
1 : 2
Liberte
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nigelec 30 20 6 4 48:24 66
2 US Gendarmerie 30 17 9 4 48:17 60
3 ASFAN 30 16 7 7 38:24 55
4 AS Garde Nationale 30 14 11 5 38:21 53
5 Police 30 14 9 7 39:21 51
6 Douanes Niamey 30 12 11 7 33:21 47
7 Espoir 30 9 10 11 31:35 37
8 AS ZAM 30 10 7 13 39:46 37
9 Sahel 30 10 5 15 21:23 35
10 JS Tahoua 30 10 5 15 36:51 35
11 Tagour 30 7 12 11 32:40 33
12 Urana 30 8 9 13 28:36 33
13 Liberte 30 7 11 12 28:46 32
14 AS UAM 30 8 8 14 25:34 32
15 Olympic Niamey 30 5 10 15 24:44 25
16 Renaissance 30 4 8 18 23:48 20
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)