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AS UAM vs US Gendarmerie - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Niger Niger

Super Ligue
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
03:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

AS UAM host US Gendarmerie in the Super Ligue. This one's hard to separate. AS UAM have averaged 0.81 scored and 1.13 conceded recently, against US Gendarmerie's 1.69 scored and 0.53 conceded. Head-to-head, AS UAM have won 1 to US Gendarmerie's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Jun 8, 2026, ending 0:3. xG projections (0.56 - 1.63) back US Gendarmerie to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
AS UAM
30%
Draws
50%
US Gendarmerie
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: US Gendarmerie

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • US Gendarmerie have won more games recently than AS UAM.
  • Model gives US Gendarmerie a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Super Ligue form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
AS UAM Clean Sheet 14%
US Gendarmerie Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AS UAM US Gendarmerie
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 8 20
Draws 9 8
Losses 14 4
Goals Scored 0.81 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.53
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 8, 2026 Super Ligue
AS UAM vs US Gendarmerie
0:3
Oct 26, 2025 Super Ligue
US Gendarmerie vs AS UAM
1:1
Jul 4, 2025 Super Ligue
US Gendarmerie vs AS UAM
0:1
Nov 17, 2024 Super Ligue
AS UAM vs US Gendarmerie
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AS UAM 10 / 100
US Gendarmerie 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AS UAM US Gendarmerie

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick US Gendarmerie Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: AS UAM scored in 65% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

AS UAM has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

US Gendarmerie's defensive record shows goals conceded in 38% of 32 matches.

Scoring Trends

AS UAM VS US Gendarmerie
0.88 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

AS UAM

(Home)
09 Oct
Nigelec
0 : 0
AS UAM
02 Oct
AS UAM
0 : 0
Douanes Niamey
27 Sept
AS UAM
1 : 1
Espoir
20 Sept
AS ZAM
0 : 1
AS UAM
13 Sept
AS UAM
0 : 2
Wombeye
Page 1 of 7

US Gendarmerie

(Away)
11 Oct
US Gendarmerie
2 : 1
ASFAN
04 Oct
JS Tahoua
1 : 2
US Gendarmerie
27 Sept
Wombeye
0 : 1
US Gendarmerie
23 Sept
US Gendarmerie
1 : 0
Nigelec
18 Sept
US Gendarmerie
4 : 0
Urana
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 US Gendarmerie 6 6 0 0 12:2 18
2 AS Garde Nationale 6 4 1 1 9:3 13
3 Sahel 6 3 3 0 9:4 12
4 Urana 6 3 2 1 6:7 11
5 ASFAN 6 2 3 1 8:6 9
6 Niima 6 1 4 1 5:6 7
7 Tagour 6 2 1 3 4:7 7
8 Police 5 1 3 1 4:3 6
9 Wombeye 6 1 3 2 4:4 6
10 Douanes Niamey 6 1 3 2 3:5 6
11 AS UAM 6 1 3 2 3:5 6
12 Espoir 6 1 2 3 3:6 5
13 Liberte 6 1 2 3 2:6 5
14 Nigelec 5 0 3 2 0:2 3
15 AS ZAM 5 0 3 2 2:5 3
16 JS Tahoua 5 0 2 3 2:5 2
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)