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AS Vacoas vs PAS Mates

Mauritius Mauritius

Super League 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

68' Event
Citorah B.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

PAS Mates in this Super League 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored PAS Mates.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
AS Vacoas
20%
Draws
32%
PAS Mates
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: AS Vacoas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • AS Vacoas have won more games recently than PAS Mates.
  • 48% — that's where the model lands on AS Vacoas taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
AS Vacoas Clean Sheet 20%
PAS Mates Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AS Vacoas PAS Mates
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 3
Draws 6 6
Losses 13 21
Goals Scored 1.39 0.7
Goals Conceded 1.32 2.43
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 30, 2026 Super League
PAS Mates vs AS Vacoas
1:3
Jan 24, 2026 Super League
AS Vacoas vs PAS Mates
6:1
May 25, 2025 Super League
AS Vacoas vs PAS Mates
0:1
Feb 16, 2025 Super League
PAS Mates vs AS Vacoas
1:1
May 6, 2012 Super League
PAS Mates vs AS Vacoas
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AS Vacoas 49 / 100
PAS Mates 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AS Vacoas PAS Mates

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AS Vacoas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

PAS Mates has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

AS Vacoas scored in 65% of their last 31 games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

PAS Mates lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AS Vacoas VS PAS Mates
1.63 Goals Scored 0.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 3
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

AS Vacoas

(Home)
30 Apr
PAS Mates
1 : 3
AS Vacoas
26 Apr
AS Vacoas
0 : 3
Riviere Du Rempart
19 Apr
AS Vacoas
0 : 2
La Cure Waves
14 Apr
AS Vacoas
0 : 3
Chebel Citizens
15 Mar
AS Vacoas
2 : 3
Port Louis
Page 1 of 7

PAS Mates

(Away)
30 Apr
PAS Mates
1 : 3
AS Vacoas
22 Apr
Port Louis
3 : 0
PAS Mates
19 Apr
PAS Mates
1 : 1
Beau Bassin (USBBRH)
28 Mar
PAS Mates
0 : 3
Petite Riviere
15 Mar
Chebel Citizens
0 : 0
PAS Mates
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cercle De Joachim 18 14 4 0 35:6 46
2 La Cure Waves 18 12 2 4 40:18 38
3 Pamplemousses 18 9 3 6 25:18 30
4 Petite Riviere 18 7 5 6 21:19 26
5 Chebel Citizens 18 7 4 7 26:26 25
6 AS Vacoas 18 6 4 8 22:30 22
7 Port Louis 18 6 3 9 21:25 21
8 PAS Mates 18 5 4 9 18:24 19
9 Entente Boulet 18 4 4 10 22:34 16
10 Grande Riviere 18 1 5 12 20:50 8
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2025/2026 (Qualification)