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Stadium Background

AS Vita Club vs Motema Pembe Prediction & H2H Stats

DR Congo DR Congo

Ligue 1 Stade des Martyrs, Kinshasa
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AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Ligue 1 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
AS Vita Club
35%
Draws
41%
Motema Pembe
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Motema Pembe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to AS Vita Club lately — more wins on the board than Motema Pembe.
  • Win probability leans AS Vita Club's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
AS Vita Club Clean Sheet 20%
Motema Pembe Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AS Vita Club Motema Pembe
Matches Played 38 27
Wins 17 8
Draws 14 14
Losses 7 5
Goals Scored 1.18 1.33
Goals Conceded 0.63 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 30, 2026 Ligue 1
Motema Pembe vs AS Vita Club
1:1
Nov 30, 2025 Ligue 1
AS Vita Club vs Motema Pembe
1:1
Jun 27, 2025 Ligue 1
Motema Pembe vs AS Vita Club
1:0
May 17, 2025 Ligue 1
AS Vita Club vs Motema Pembe
0:0
Mar 26, 2025 Ligue 1
AS Vita Club vs Motema Pembe
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AS Vita Club 42 / 100
Motema Pembe 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AS Vita Club Motema Pembe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AS Vita Club scored in 66% of their last 38 games.

Motema Pembe has conceded goals in 70% of their last 27 outings.

AS Vita Club went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Scoring Trends

AS Vita Club VS Motema Pembe
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

AS Vita Club

(Home)
20 Jun
St Eloi Lupopo
1 : 0
AS Vita Club
17 Jun
Simba
0 : 0
AS Vita Club
14 Jun
AS Vita Club
1 : 1
Don Bosco
10 Jun
AS Vita Club
1 : 2
AS Maniema
06 Jun
Aigles du Congo
0 : 0
AS Vita Club
Page 1 of 8

Motema Pembe

(Away)
18 Apr
AS Maniema
3 : 0
Motema Pembe
15 Apr
Etoile de Kivu
1 : 5
Motema Pembe
11 Apr
Anges Verts
1 : 0
Motema Pembe
08 Apr
OC Renaissance
0 : 0
Motema Pembe
30 Mar
Motema Pembe
1 : 1
AS Vita Club
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mazembe 30 23 4 3 57:12 73
2 St Eloi Lupopo 30 19 6 5 55:27 63
3 Don Bosco 30 16 8 6 43:24 56
4 Simba 30 14 8 8 33:27 50
5 Manika 30 12 12 6 31:20 48
6 Tanganyika 30 13 5 12 38:32 44
7 Lubumbashi Sport 30 11 10 9 27:26 43
8 Blessing 30 11 7 12 33:31 40
9 Sanga Balende 30 10 6 14 25:34 36
10 Saint-Luc 30 9 8 13 21:33 35
11 Malole 30 9 6 15 34:39 33
12 New Soger 30 9 6 15 29:40 33
13 Tshinkunku 30 7 10 13 23:41 31
14 Groupe Bazano 30 7 9 14 26:38 30
15 Tshikas 30 6 10 14 25:40 28
16 US Panda 30 5 1 24 17:59 16
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AS Maniema 27 13 13 1 38:10 52
2 AS Vita Club 27 13 11 3 35:13 50
3 Aigles du Congo 26 13 9 4 32:16 48
4 Dauphins Noirs 26 13 6 7 35:20 45
5 Celeste 26 12 8 6 36:13 44
6 Etoile de Kivu 26 10 6 10 34:35 36
7 Motema Pembe 26 7 14 5 33:25 35
8 Anges Verts 26 6 11 9 26:32 29
9 New Jack 26 6 11 9 20:26 29
10 AC Rangers 27 7 8 12 21:35 29
11 FC MK Etancheite 26 6 8 12 15:35 26
12 FC Renaissance 27 4 13 10 21:40 25
13 OC Renaissance 26 4 10 12 14:33 22
14 Bukavu Dawa 26 2 8 16 10:37 14
15 Martin Pecheur 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Championship Group)