Sport Picks

Stadium Background

AS Wincrange vs Kaerjeng - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Luxembourg Luxembourg

Luxembourg Cup 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-6, with Kaerjeng advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
AS Wincrange
15%
Draws
85%
Kaerjeng
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kaerjeng

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kaerjeng come out ahead of AS Wincrange on wins alone.
  • Kaerjeng are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Kaerjeng arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Kaerjeng, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
AS Wincrange Clean Sheet 19%
Kaerjeng Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AS Wincrange Kaerjeng
Matches Played 12 30
Wins 3 18
Draws 0 2
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 0.83 2.3
Goals Conceded 3 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 23, 2018 Luxembourg Cup
AS Wincrange vs Kaerjeng
0:6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AS Wincrange 10 / 100
Kaerjeng 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AS Wincrange Kaerjeng

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kaerjeng Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Defensive concern: Kaerjeng conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

AS Wincrange's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 12 recent games.

Kaerjeng's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Kaerjeng
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

AS Wincrange

(Home)
27 Jan
US Feulen
2 : 0
AS Wincrange
02 Oct
AS Wincrange
0 : 6
Progres Niedercorn
03 Oct
AS Wincrange
0 : 2
Bettembourg
18 Oct
AS Wincrange
0 : 2
FC Rodange 91
23 Sept
AS Wincrange
0 : 6
Kaerjeng
Page 1 of 3

Kaerjeng

(Away)
20 Sept
Syra Mensdorf
1 : 9
Kaerjeng
16 Sept
Dudelange
2 : 4
Kaerjeng
11 Sept
Kaerjeng
5 : 0
Victoria Rosport
06 Sept
Differdange
4 : 1
Kaerjeng
30 Aug
Kaerjeng
6 : 0
Hesperange
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Dudelange 7
Kehlen 1
Les Ardoisiers Perle 1
US Sandweiler 4
CS Bourscheid 2
Excelsior Grevels 0
Blo Weiss Itzig 1
Fola 7
Differdange 2
FF Norden 1
Bettembourg 0
Racing Luxembourg 7
Hesperange 6
Jeunesse Schieren 3
FC Orania Vianden 0
Mondorf 7
Blue Boys Muhlenbach 4
Jeunesse Biwer 0
Schifflange 1
FC Mamer 4
Jeunesse Canach 4
Diekirch 2
FC Koerich/Simmern 2
Bissen 7
Luxembourg City 4
Echternach 0
Syra Mensdorf 2
Erpeldange 3
Hostert 4
Lintgen 0
US Feulen 1
Progres Niedercorn 4
Mertert/Wasserbillig 5
Oberkorn 1
Blo Weiss Medernach 2
Koeppchen 4
Alliance Aischdall 4
Jeunesse Junglinster 3
US Moutfort/Medingen 2
Sporting Bertrange 3
Wiltz 6
Etoile Sportive Schouweiler 0
CS Sanem 1
Union Tetange 3
FC Rodange 91 1
Alisontia Steinsel 0
Steinfort 0
Victoria Rosport 1
UNA Strassen 6
Jeunesse Useldange 1
Union Remich/Bous 0
Rumelange 1
Union Titus Petange 4
AS Colmar-Berg 0
Mondercange 0
Esch 1
Jeunesse Esch 3
Berdenia Berbourg 0
AS Wincrange 0
Kaerjeng 6
Cebra 3
FC Yellow Boys Weiler 0
FC 47 Bastendorf 1
Ettelbruck 10
1/16-finals
Dudelange 6
US Sandweiler 0
CS Bourscheid 1
Fola 16
Differdange 3
Racing Luxembourg 2
Hesperange 1
Mondorf 3
Blue Boys Muhlenbach 1
FC Mamer 0
Jeunesse Canach 0
Bissen 2
Luxembourg City 6
Erpeldange 2
Hostert 0
Progres Niedercorn 1
Mertert/Wasserbillig 5
Koeppchen 1
Alliance Aischdall 2
Sporting Bertrange 3
Wiltz 2
Union Tetange 1
FC Rodange 91 1
Victoria Rosport 2
UNA Strassen 4
Rumelange 1
Union Titus Petange 1
Esch 2
Jeunesse Esch 5
Kaerjeng 0
Cebra 0
Ettelbruck 2
1/8-finals
Dudelange 2
Fola 1
Differdange 1
Mondorf 2
Blue Boys Muhlenbach 1
Bissen 0
Luxembourg City 2
Progres Niedercorn 4
Mertert/Wasserbillig 3
Sporting Bertrange 1
Wiltz 0
Victoria Rosport 2
UNA Strassen 2
Esch 1
Jeunesse Esch 0
Ettelbruck 1
Quarter-finals
Dudelange 3
Mondorf 2
Blue Boys Muhlenbach 0
Progres Niedercorn 3
Mertert/Wasserbillig 2
Victoria Rosport 0
UNA Strassen 1
Ettelbruck 2
Semi-finals
Dudelange 3
Progres Niedercorn 1
Mertert/Wasserbillig 0
Ettelbruck 3
Final
Dudelange 5
Ettelbruck 0