Sport Picks

Stadium Background

ASA Aarhus vs Aalborg Chang

Denmark Denmark

Landspokal Cup 2020/2021
Our Tip

Match Events

48' Event
Heesgaard H.
70' Event
Plagborg A.
84' Event
Knudsen N.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 4-0, with ASA Aarhus advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
ASA Aarhus
15%
Draws
34%
Aalborg Chang
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: ASA Aarhus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Aalborg Chang carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on ASA Aarhus taking it.
  • Aalborg Chang arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor ASA Aarhus, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
ASA Aarhus Clean Sheet 15%
Aalborg Chang Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ASA Aarhus Aalborg Chang
Matches Played 19 30
Wins 8 10
Draws 1 4
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 1.32 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.79 2.27
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 1, 2020 Betano Pokalen
ASA Aarhus vs Aalborg Chang
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

ASA Aarhus Compare

Top Goalscorer Heesgaard H.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Plagborg A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Aalborg Chang Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ASA Aarhus 84 / 100
Aalborg Chang 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ASA Aarhus Aalborg Chang

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ASA Aarhus Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aalborg Chang let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

ASA Aarhus found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (19 games).

ASA Aarhus went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

ASA Aarhus VS Aalborg Chang
1.5 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 3.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

ASA Aarhus

(Home)
26 Sept
ASA Aarhus
2 : 1
Horsholm-Usserod
19 Sept
Bronshoj
5 : 1
ASA Aarhus
13 Sept
ASA Aarhus
1 : 0
Naesby
05 Sept
Sundby
1 : 0
ASA Aarhus
28 Aug
ASA Aarhus
4 : 0
Holstebro
Page 1 of 4

Aalborg Chang

(Away)
06 Aug
Aalborg Chang
0 : 3
Skive
01 Sept
ASA Aarhus
4 : 0
Aalborg Chang
26 Sept
Aalborg Chang
1 : 7
Esbjerg
27 Aug
Aalborg Chang
4 : 3
Aarhus Fremad
13 Aug
Hojslev
1 : 6
Aalborg Chang
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Birkerod 1
Avedore 0
Nakskov 0
Nykobing 3
Glamsbjerg 0
Esbjerg 8
St. Restrup 0
Silkeborg 5
Hundested IK 0
BSF 3
Frederikssund 1
Naestved IF 4
Vanlose 1
Hillerod 2
TBD -
Odense -
Ringsted 3
Vordingborg 0
Gentofte-Vangede 1
Avarta 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Copenhagen -
Bispebjerg Bk 3
Helsingor 2
Frederiksberg Alliancen 2000 0
Koge 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Midtjylland -
Fjordager 1
Hedensted 2
Morso 0
Viborg 9
Susa 1
Holbaek 2
B 1908 1
Fremad Amager 3
Nordfalster 1
Ledoje-Smorum 3
Frem Sakskobing 1
Roskilde 6
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brondby -
Hojslev 0
Viby 4
Djursland 0
Skive 7
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sonderjyske -
Slagelse 2
Dalum IF 1
Skovshoved 1
Hellerup 0
Bronshoj 2
BK Frem 1
TBD -
Lyngby -
Bogense 1
FK Utopia 2
Egebjerg Fodbold 0
Kolding IF 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aarhus -
Skanderborg 1
OKS Odense 2
Aalborg Freja 0
VSK Aarhus 4
FIUK Odense 0
Naesby 7
TBD -
Horsens -
Lojt 0
Grindsted 2
ASA Aarhus 4
Aalborg Chang 0
ESPM 2
Solrod FC 5
Ronne IK 0
Boldklubben 1893 3
Allerod 3
BK Union 1
Ishoj IF 1
AB Copenhagen 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aalborg -
Skjold 1
KFUMs BK 2
Glostrup FK 0
Hvidovre IF 2
Rodovre 2
FC Graesrodderne 4
TBD -
Nordsjaelland -
Kjellerup 3
Thisted FC 0
Bronderslev 0
Brabrand 4
Lyseng 0
Hobro 7
TBD -
Vejle -
Vejgaard 0
Jammerbugt 2
Otterup 2
Middelfart 3
Saedding/Guldager IF 0
Kolding BK 1
Helsted 0
Holstebro 1
Vatanspor 1
Aarhus Fremad 5
Ringkobing 0
Vendsyssel FF 2
FC Sydvest 05 2
Fredericia 0
TBD -
Randers FC -
1/32-finals
Birkerod 0
Nykobing 6
Esbjerg 2
Silkeborg 1
BSF 1
Naestved IF 0
Hillerod 1
Odense 2
Ringsted 2
Avarta 3
TBD -
FC Copenhagen -
Bispebjerg Bk 0
Koge 4
TBD -
Midtjylland -
Hedensted 3
Viborg 1
Holbaek 0
Fremad Amager 3
Ledoje-Smorum 2
Roskilde 1
TBD -
Brondby -
Viby 1
Skive 2
TBD -
Sonderjyske -
Slagelse 2
Skovshoved 0
Bronshoj 4
Lyngby 5
FK Utopia 0
Kolding IF 5
TBD -
Aarhus -
OKS Odense 1
VSK Aarhus 2
Naesby 0
Horsens 3
Grindsted 1
ASA Aarhus 2
Solrod FC 0
Boldklubben 1893 3
Allerod 1
AB Copenhagen 2
TBD -
Aalborg -
KFUMs BK 0
Hvidovre IF 2
FC Graesrodderne 1
Nordsjaelland 5
Kjellerup 2
Brabrand 4
Hobro 0
Vejle 3
Jammerbugt 2
Middelfart 1
Kolding BK 0
Holstebro 4
Aarhus Fremad 5
Vendsyssel FF 0
FC Sydvest 05 1
Randers FC 4
1/16-finals
Nykobing 1
Esbjerg 0
BSF 0
Odense 3
Avarta 1
FC Copenhagen 2
Koge 0
Midtjylland 1
Hedensted 1
Fremad Amager 5
Ledoje-Smorum 0
Brondby 1
Skive 0
Sonderjyske 1
Slagelse 0
Lyngby 9
Kolding IF 3
Aarhus 4
VSK Aarhus 2
Horsens 4
ASA Aarhus 1
Boldklubben 1893 4
AB Copenhagen 1
Aalborg 2
Hvidovre IF 2
Nordsjaelland 0
Brabrand 2
Vejle 3
Jammerbugt 3
Holstebro 4
Aarhus Fremad 1
Randers FC 3
1/8-finals
Nykobing 0
Odense 3
FC Copenhagen 1
Midtjylland 2
Fremad Amager 2
Brondby 1
Sonderjyske 2
Lyngby 1
Aarhus 1
Horsens 0
Boldklubben 1893 1
Aalborg 0
Hvidovre IF 2
Vejle 3
Holstebro 1
Randers FC 3
Quarter-finals
Odense 1
Midtjylland 5
Fremad Amager 2
Sonderjyske 6
Aarhus 4
Boldklubben 1893 3
Vejle 1
Randers FC 3
Semi-finals
Midtjylland 2
Sonderjyske 3
Aarhus 1
Randers FC 3
Final
Sonderjyske 0
Randers FC 4