Sport Picks

Denmark

Landspokal Cup 2024/2025

Thisted FC

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

ASA Aarhus play Thisted FC in the Landspokal Cup 2024/2025. Thisted FC are favorites here. Recently, ASA Aarhus averaged 1.38 goals scored and 2.25 conceded. Thisted FC averaged 1.25 goals scored and 1.19 conceded. In past meetings, ASA Aarhus won 0, Thisted FC won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Aug 13, 2024 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.17 for ASA Aarhus and 1.11 for Thisted FC. This points to a Thisted FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%

ASA Aarhus

15%

Draws

61%

Thisted FC

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Thisted FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

87% / Very High Confidence

ASA Aarhus picked up more points recently compared to Thisted FC.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.17 vs 1.11 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 56%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 76%

Over 2.5 Goals 56%

Over 3.5 Goals 34%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 41%

ASA Aarhus Clean Sheet 21%

Thisted FC Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 68%

Second Half Goal 72%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	ASA Aarhus	Thisted FC
Matches Played	8	32
Wins	2	14
Draws	0	4
Losses	6	14
Goals Scored	1.38	1.25
Goals Conceded	2.25	1.19

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 13, 2024 Betano Pokalen

ASA Aarhus vs Thisted FC

Possession: 55% - 43% Cards: 1 - 2

1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

ASA Aarhus Compare

Top Goalscorer Pinholt C.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Thisted FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Engstrom V.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Ronn Lind A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.03

Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ASA Aarhus 26 / 100

Thisted FC 57 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ASA Aarhus Thisted FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Thisted FC Win (2)

Secondary Pick Thisted FC & Over 2.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +50%

6.25

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12%

2.00

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

ASA Aarhus attacking → ← attacking Thisted FC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ASA Aarhus scored in 75% of their last 8 games.

Thisted FC let in goals in 66% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

ASA Aarhus went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Thisted FC lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

6 Points in last 5 46

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.13

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13