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Stadium Background

ASA vs Coruripe

Brazil Brazil

Alagoano Estádio Municipal Coaracy da Mata Fonseca, Arapiraca
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Gustavo Ramos
44'
Rhamon Mexicano
46'
Sub
Dias de Oliveira A. P. In: Gabriel Guimaraes
Out: Dias de Oliveira A. P.

AI Match Summary

The Alagoano game between ASA and Coruripe finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward ASA.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
ASA
30%
Draws
39%
Coruripe
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Coruripe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • ASA carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 31% — that's where the model lands on ASA taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 19%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
ASA Clean Sheet 68%
Coruripe Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ASA Coruripe
Matches Played 48 30
Wins 25 10
Draws 17 10
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 1.33 0.9
Goals Conceded 0.56 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 21, 2026 Alagoano
ASA vs Coruripe
2:0
Feb 4, 2025 Copa Alagoas
ASA vs Coruripe
0:1
Jan 12, 2025 Alagoano
Coruripe vs ASA
0:0
Feb 14, 2024 Copa Alagoas
Coruripe vs ASA
2:1
Jan 28, 2024 Alagoano
ASA vs Coruripe
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

ASA Compare

Top Goalscorer Gustavo Ramos
1 Goals
Assists Leader Alex Bruno
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Coruripe Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ASA 50 / 100
Coruripe 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ASA Coruripe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ASA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ASA scored in 71% of their last 48 games.

Coruripe let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: ASA remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

ASA VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

ASA

(Home)
13 Sept
Uberlandia
1 : 1
ASA
06 Sept
ASA
0 : 2
Uberlandia
30 Aug
Gama
0 : 0
ASA
23 Aug
ASA
2 : 0
Gama
16 Aug
ASA
2 : 1
Goiatuba EC
Page 1 of 10

Coruripe

(Away)
18 Mar
Coruripe
1 : 1
Cruzeiro Arapiraca
14 Mar
CRB
5 : 1
Coruripe
12 Feb
Coruripe
2 : 1
CSA
07 Feb
Coruripe
2 : 1
CRB
04 Feb
Dimensao Capela
0 : 2
Coruripe
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ASA 7 5 2 0 13:3 17
2 CSA 7 5 2 0 10:1 17
3 CRB 7 4 1 2 8:8 13
4 Murici 7 3 2 2 8:5 11
5 Cruzeiro Arapiraca 7 2 0 5 6:12 6
6 Coruripe 7 1 2 4 5:11 5
7 SC Penedense 7 1 2 4 2:8 5
8 Clube Sociedade Esportiva 7 1 1 5 6:10 4
Promotion - Alagoano (Play Offs)